Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daily high near 30°C for Shanghai on September 6, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at that level. Early September climatology shows mean highs of 28–30°C as the subtropical high weakens and seasonal cooling begins, with recent ensemble runs incorporating light rain and northerly flow that moderates peak temperatures while limiting extreme outliers. Urban heat effects and humidity may support readings at or slightly above the forecast, yet model consensus and historical analogs for the date favor the narrow 29–31°C band over hotter or cooler outcomes. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will be the key variable for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 6 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 6 de septiembre?
30°C 47%
29°C 30%
31°C 17%
28°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
30%
30°C
47%
31°C
17%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C o más
<1%
30°C 47%
29°C 30%
31°C 17%
28°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$23 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$23 Vol.
4%
28°C
$705 Vol.
5%
29°C
$68 Vol.
30%
30°C
$91 Vol.
47%
31°C
$225 Vol.
17%
32°C
$33 Vol.
5%
33°C
$0 Vol.
3%
34°C
$0 Vol.
1%
35°C o más
$39 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daily high near 30°C for Shanghai on September 6, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at that level. Early September climatology shows mean highs of 28–30°C as the subtropical high weakens and seasonal cooling begins, with recent ensemble runs incorporating light rain and northerly flow that moderates peak temperatures while limiting extreme outliers. Urban heat effects and humidity may support readings at or slightly above the forecast, yet model consensus and historical analogs for the date favor the narrow 29–31°C band over hotter or cooler outcomes. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will be the key variable for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,206Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daily high near 30°C for Shanghai on September 6, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at that level. Early September climatology shows mean highs of 28–30°C as the subtropical high weakens and seasonal cooling begins, with recent ensemble runs incorporating light rain and northerly flow that moderates peak temperatures while limiting extreme outliers. Urban heat effects and humidity may support readings at or slightly above the forecast, yet model consensus and historical analogs for the date favor the narrow 29–31°C band over hotter or cooler outcomes. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will be the key variable for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,206Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daily high near 30°C for Shanghai on September 6, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at that level. Early September climatology shows mean highs of 28–30°C as the subtropical high weakens and seasonal cooling begins, with recent ensemble runs incorporating light rain and northerly flow that moderates peak temperatures while limiting extreme outliers. Urban heat effects and humidity may support readings at or slightly above the forecast, yet model consensus and historical analogs for the date favor the narrow 29–31°C band over hotter or cooler outcomes. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will be the key variable for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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