Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate Shenzhen will reach a daily maximum of 36°C under prevailing subtropical high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover, driving the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official observations and ensemble predictions show consistency around this threshold, consistent with typical August peaks in the region where urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C. Lower or higher readings remain improbable given stable steering patterns and humidity levels that limit further intensification. The only realistic challenges would involve an unexpected late-day shift in wind or precipitation that caps the peak below 36°C or pushes it to 37°C, though current data show low likelihood of such revisions before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 13 de agosto?
36°C 99.6%
37°C <1%
28°C o menos <1%
29°C <1%
$59,475 Vol.
$59,475 Vol.
13 ago 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
1%
38°C o más
<1%
36°C 99.6%
37°C <1%
28°C o menos <1%
29°C <1%
$59,475 Vol.
$59,475 Vol.
13 ago 2026
28°C o menos
$1,387 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,012 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$837 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,293 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,820 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,743 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,471 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$13,781 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$6,692 Vol.
100%
37°C
$7,789 Vol.
1%
38°C o más
$4,652 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate Shenzhen will reach a daily maximum of 36°C under prevailing subtropical high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover, driving the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official observations and ensemble predictions show consistency around this threshold, consistent with typical August peaks in the region where urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C. Lower or higher readings remain improbable given stable steering patterns and humidity levels that limit further intensification. The only realistic challenges would involve an unexpected late-day shift in wind or precipitation that caps the peak below 36°C or pushes it to 37°C, though current data show low likelihood of such revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$59,475Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate Shenzhen will reach a daily maximum of 36°C under prevailing subtropical high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover, driving the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official observations and ensemble predictions show consistency around this threshold, consistent with typical August peaks in the region where urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C. Lower or higher readings remain improbable given stable steering patterns and humidity levels that limit further intensification. The only realistic challenges would involve an unexpected late-day shift in wind or precipitation that caps the peak below 36°C or pushes it to 37°C, though current data show low likelihood of such revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$59,475Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate Shenzhen will reach a daily maximum of 36°C under prevailing subtropical high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover, driving the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official observations and ensemble predictions show consistency around this threshold, consistent with typical August peaks in the region where urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C. Lower or higher readings remain improbable given stable steering patterns and humidity levels that limit further intensification. The only realistic challenges would involve an unexpected late-day shift in wind or precipitation that caps the peak below 36°C or pushes it to 37°C, though current data show low likelihood of such revisions before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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