Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Taipei on June 18 likely reaching 34–35°C, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Summer conditions featuring elevated humidity, light winds, and urban heat island amplification around the Songshan station typically allow daytime maxima to climb 1–3°C above climatological averages of 32–33°C. Model consensus shows limited afternoon thunderstorm development that could cap or briefly suppress the high, creating the tight probability distribution; any shift in timing of cloud cover or sea-breeze influence could tip the final reading between the leading bins. Traders are therefore monitoring the latest model runs and official guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on June 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 18?
35°C 28%
34°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 17%
NUEVO
$38,539 Vol.
NUEVO
$38,539 Vol.
18 jun 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
17%
34°C
27%
35°C
28%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
8%
35°C 28%
34°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 17%
NUEVO
$38,539 Vol.
NUEVO
$38,539 Vol.
18 jun 2026
27°C or below
$1,477 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$575 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,008 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,260 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,998 Vol.
1%
32°C
$4,708 Vol.
8%
33°C
$4,038 Vol.
17%
34°C
$3,645 Vol.
27%
35°C
$3,961 Vol.
28%
36°C
$4,087 Vol.
19%
37°C or higher
$5,783 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Taipei on June 18 likely reaching 34–35°C, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Summer conditions featuring elevated humidity, light winds, and urban heat island amplification around the Songshan station typically allow daytime maxima to climb 1–3°C above climatological averages of 32–33°C. Model consensus shows limited afternoon thunderstorm development that could cap or briefly suppress the high, creating the tight probability distribution; any shift in timing of cloud cover or sea-breeze influence could tip the final reading between the leading bins. Traders are therefore monitoring the latest model runs and official guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$38,539Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Taipei on June 18 likely reaching 34–35°C, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Summer conditions featuring elevated humidity, light winds, and urban heat island amplification around the Songshan station typically allow daytime maxima to climb 1–3°C above climatological averages of 32–33°C. Model consensus shows limited afternoon thunderstorm development that could cap or briefly suppress the high, creating the tight probability distribution; any shift in timing of cloud cover or sea-breeze influence could tip the final reading between the leading bins. Traders are therefore monitoring the latest model runs and official guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$38,539Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Taipei on June 18 likely reaching 34–35°C, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Summer conditions featuring elevated humidity, light winds, and urban heat island amplification around the Songshan station typically allow daytime maxima to climb 1–3°C above climatological averages of 32–33°C. Model consensus shows limited afternoon thunderstorm development that could cap or briefly suppress the high, creating the tight probability distribution; any shift in timing of cloud cover or sea-breeze influence could tip the final reading between the leading bins. Traders are therefore monitoring the latest model runs and official guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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