Recent forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather project a peak temperature of 33–34°C for Tel Aviv on August 11 under sunny skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover typical of the region’s Mediterranean summer regime. These conditions, combined with seasonal high pressure and sea-surface temperatures near 29–30°C that limit coastal moderation, position 35°C as the market leader at 59% implied probability while supporting secondary odds on 34°C and 36°C. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, yet current model runs show a modest positive anomaly consistent with the tight clustering of trader expectations around the mid-30s. Updated guidance through the morning of August 11 remains the key near-term variable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 11 de agosto?
35°C 59%
36°C 24%
34°C 14%
37°C 4%
31°C o menos
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
14%
35°C
59%
36°C
24%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C o más
<1%
35°C 59%
36°C 24%
34°C 14%
37°C 4%
31°C o menos
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
14%
35°C
59%
36°C
24%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather project a peak temperature of 33–34°C for Tel Aviv on August 11 under sunny skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover typical of the region’s Mediterranean summer regime. These conditions, combined with seasonal high pressure and sea-surface temperatures near 29–30°C that limit coastal moderation, position 35°C as the market leader at 59% implied probability while supporting secondary odds on 34°C and 36°C. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, yet current model runs show a modest positive anomaly consistent with the tight clustering of trader expectations around the mid-30s. Updated guidance through the morning of August 11 remains the key near-term variable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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