Forecasts from agencies including the BBC and UK Met Office, alongside ECMWF and GFS model output, cluster Warsaw’s August 13 maximum near 23–24 °C under stable high pressure, sunny intervals, and light northeasterly winds. This aligns with mid-August climatology of 23–25 °C daytime highs at Chopin Airport. Modest daytime radiative heating without strong warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification keeps extremes unlikely, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread between 23 °C and 24 °C. Traders have priced these two outcomes nearly evenly because ensemble guidance shows limited divergence, with any late-day shift in insolation or wind speed able to tip the official maximum by one degree. Lower-probability bins above 25 °C would require unexpected steering changes or reduced cloudiness before the daily peak is recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 13 de agosto?
23°C 47%
24°C 41%
22°C 7%
25°C 3%
$18,609 Vol.
$18,609 Vol.
13 ago 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
7%
23°C
47%
24°C
41%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 41%
22°C 7%
25°C 3%
$18,609 Vol.
$18,609 Vol.
13 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$722 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,789 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,697 Vol.
7%
23°C
$2,728 Vol.
47%
24°C
$4,552 Vol.
41%
25°C
$1,460 Vol.
3%
26°C
$1,249 Vol.
1%
27°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$893 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$782 Vol.
<1%
30°C o más
$210 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including the BBC and UK Met Office, alongside ECMWF and GFS model output, cluster Warsaw’s August 13 maximum near 23–24 °C under stable high pressure, sunny intervals, and light northeasterly winds. This aligns with mid-August climatology of 23–25 °C daytime highs at Chopin Airport. Modest daytime radiative heating without strong warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification keeps extremes unlikely, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread between 23 °C and 24 °C. Traders have priced these two outcomes nearly evenly because ensemble guidance shows limited divergence, with any late-day shift in insolation or wind speed able to tip the official maximum by one degree. Lower-probability bins above 25 °C would require unexpected steering changes or reduced cloudiness before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$18,609Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including the BBC and UK Met Office, alongside ECMWF and GFS model output, cluster Warsaw’s August 13 maximum near 23–24 °C under stable high pressure, sunny intervals, and light northeasterly winds. This aligns with mid-August climatology of 23–25 °C daytime highs at Chopin Airport. Modest daytime radiative heating without strong warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification keeps extremes unlikely, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread between 23 °C and 24 °C. Traders have priced these two outcomes nearly evenly because ensemble guidance shows limited divergence, with any late-day shift in insolation or wind speed able to tip the official maximum by one degree. Lower-probability bins above 25 °C would require unexpected steering changes or reduced cloudiness before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$18,609Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from agencies including the BBC and UK Met Office, alongside ECMWF and GFS model output, cluster Warsaw’s August 13 maximum near 23–24 °C under stable high pressure, sunny intervals, and light northeasterly winds. This aligns with mid-August climatology of 23–25 °C daytime highs at Chopin Airport. Modest daytime radiative heating without strong warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification keeps extremes unlikely, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread between 23 °C and 24 °C. Traders have priced these two outcomes nearly evenly because ensemble guidance shows limited divergence, with any late-day shift in insolation or wind speed able to tip the official maximum by one degree. Lower-probability bins above 25 °C would require unexpected steering changes or reduced cloudiness before the daily peak is recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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