**Short-term forecast models from agencies like MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild spring day for Wellington on September 6, with the daily maximum most likely reaching 14–16 °C under prevailing northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front.** Northwesterly winds are expected to advect relatively warm maritime air, supporting afternoon highs near or slightly above the September climatological average of ~14 °C, while increasing cloud cover and a 40–95 % chance of rain later in the period introduce modest cooling potential. Recent model runs show limited spread, with the strongest consensus around 15 °C, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring that outcome (51 %) followed by 16 °C (30.5 %). A shift to southerly winds behind the front by evening could cap the peak, keeping lower probabilities on 13 °C or below. Updated NWP guidance and MetService briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data points for any revision in market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 6 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 6 de septiembre?
15°C 51%
16°C 31%
14°C 15%
18°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
9°C o menos
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
15%
15°C
51%
16°C
31%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C o más
3%
15°C 51%
16°C 31%
14°C 15%
18°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
9°C o menos
$35 Vol.
1%
10°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$54 Vol.
1%
12°C
$5 Vol.
2%
13°C
$143 Vol.
3%
14°C
$655 Vol.
15%
15°C
$292 Vol.
51%
16°C
$486 Vol.
31%
17°C
$135 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C o más
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast models from agencies like MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild spring day for Wellington on September 6, with the daily maximum most likely reaching 14–16 °C under prevailing northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front.**
Northwesterly winds are expected to advect relatively warm maritime air, supporting afternoon highs near or slightly above the September climatological average of ~14 °C, while increasing cloud cover and a 40–95 % chance of rain later in the period introduce modest cooling potential. Recent model runs show limited spread, with the strongest consensus around 15 °C, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring that outcome (51 %) followed by 16 °C (30.5 %). A shift to southerly winds behind the front by evening could cap the peak, keeping lower probabilities on 13 °C or below. Updated NWP guidance and MetService briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data points for any revision in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,841Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast models from agencies like MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild spring day for Wellington on September 6, with the daily maximum most likely reaching 14–16 °C under prevailing northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front.**
Northwesterly winds are expected to advect relatively warm maritime air, supporting afternoon highs near or slightly above the September climatological average of ~14 °C, while increasing cloud cover and a 40–95 % chance of rain later in the period introduce modest cooling potential. Recent model runs show limited spread, with the strongest consensus around 15 °C, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring that outcome (51 %) followed by 16 °C (30.5 %). A shift to southerly winds behind the front by evening could cap the peak, keeping lower probabilities on 13 °C or below. Updated NWP guidance and MetService briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data points for any revision in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,841Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecast models from agencies like MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild spring day for Wellington on September 6, with the daily maximum most likely reaching 14–16 °C under prevailing northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front.** Northwesterly winds are expected to advect relatively warm maritime air, supporting afternoon highs near or slightly above the September climatological average of ~14 °C, while increasing cloud cover and a 40–95 % chance of rain later in the period introduce modest cooling potential. Recent model runs show limited spread, with the strongest consensus around 15 °C, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring that outcome (51 %) followed by 16 °C (30.5 %). A shift to southerly winds behind the front by evening could cap the peak, keeping lower probabilities on 13 °C or below. Updated NWP guidance and MetService briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data points for any revision in market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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