Recent forecast guidance from Chinese meteorological centers places Zhengzhou’s maximum temperature near the 31–32 °C threshold amid partly cloudy skies and a modest risk of afternoon thundery showers. High humidity and convective instability limit surface heating by increasing cloud cover and reducing insolation, while any breaks in cloud or lighter winds could allow stronger solar input to reach or exceed 32 °C. These borderline conditions explain the near-even market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes, with historical August averages around 31 °C underscoring the narrow margin. Updated model runs and the official daily summary will clarify resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 16 de agosto?
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31°C
49%
32°C o más
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Chinese meteorological centers places Zhengzhou’s maximum temperature near the 31–32 °C threshold amid partly cloudy skies and a modest risk of afternoon thundery showers. High humidity and convective instability limit surface heating by increasing cloud cover and reducing insolation, while any breaks in cloud or lighter winds could allow stronger solar input to reach or exceed 32 °C. These borderline conditions explain the near-even market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes, with historical August averages around 31 °C underscoring the narrow margin. Updated model runs and the official daily summary will clarify resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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