Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a daily maximum near or above 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure favoring warm, moist southerly flow and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop but are not expected to significantly suppress afternoon temperatures, consistent with regional climatology for late August. Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C or higher at 74%, reflecting trader alignment with these stable warm-air advection patterns and minimal downside risk from revised model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 23 de agosto?
32°C or higher 74%
31°C 26%
30°C 10%
29°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
74%
32°C or higher 74%
31°C 26%
30°C 10%
29°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a daily maximum near or above 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure favoring warm, moist southerly flow and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop but are not expected to significantly suppress afternoon temperatures, consistent with regional climatology for late August. Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C or higher at 74%, reflecting trader alignment with these stable warm-air advection patterns and minimal downside risk from revised model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$40Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a daily maximum near or above 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure favoring warm, moist southerly flow and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop but are not expected to significantly suppress afternoon temperatures, consistent with regional climatology for late August. Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C or higher at 74%, reflecting trader alignment with these stable warm-air advection patterns and minimal downside risk from revised model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$40Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a daily maximum near or above 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure favoring warm, moist southerly flow and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop but are not expected to significantly suppress afternoon temperatures, consistent with regional climatology for late August. Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C or higher at 74%, reflecting trader alignment with these stable warm-air advection patterns and minimal downside risk from revised model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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