Forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou near 25–26°C on August 23, 2026, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a warm, humid air mass with light northeasterly winds and minimal cooling overnight. Multiple sources project daily minimums of 79–80°F (26–27°C), well above the 22°C historical August average low, supporting the market's strong 93% implied probability for 25°C or higher. This positioning reflects real-time consensus from recent model runs showing stable high pressure and no incoming fronts. A rapid shift in steering patterns or an unseasonal cold surge could lower readings, though such developments remain unlikely given current atmospheric conditions and the short time to resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Zhengzhou el 23 de agosto?
25°C or higher 99%
22°C 28%
19°C 19%
18°C 17%
15°C or below
9%
16°C
15%
17°C
14%
18°C
17%
19°C
19%
20°C
16%
21°C
17%
22°C
28%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C or higher
93%
25°C or higher 99%
22°C 28%
19°C 19%
18°C 17%
15°C or below
9%
16°C
15%
17°C
14%
18°C
17%
19°C
19%
20°C
16%
21°C
17%
22°C
28%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Zhengzhou near 25–26°C on August 23, 2026, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a warm, humid air mass with light northeasterly winds and minimal cooling overnight. Multiple sources project daily minimums of 79–80°F (26–27°C), well above the 22°C historical August average low, supporting the market's strong 93% implied probability for 25°C or higher. This positioning reflects real-time consensus from recent model runs showing stable high pressure and no incoming fronts. A rapid shift in steering patterns or an unseasonal cold surge could lower readings, though such developments remain unlikely given current atmospheric conditions and the short time to resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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