August 24 falls in peak summer for Zhengzhou, where climatological normals and recent China Meteorological Administration analyses show typical daily highs of 32–36 °C under subtropical high-pressure influence. Current model consensus, including updated ECMWF and CMA runs, projects surface temperatures remaining well above 32 °C with minimal frontal activity or cloud cover to suppress readings. Trader positioning at 99.6 % for 32 °C or higher therefore reflects both the strong historical baseline (August mean maximum near 34 °C) and stable forecast guidance through the measurement window. Only an unexpected late-day cold advection or instrument calibration error would realistically shift the outcome below threshold, scenarios assigned negligible probability given the current synoptic setup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 24 de agosto?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
22°C or below
$225 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$757 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$391 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$321 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.August 24 falls in peak summer for Zhengzhou, where climatological normals and recent China Meteorological Administration analyses show typical daily highs of 32–36 °C under subtropical high-pressure influence. Current model consensus, including updated ECMWF and CMA runs, projects surface temperatures remaining well above 32 °C with minimal frontal activity or cloud cover to suppress readings. Trader positioning at 99.6 % for 32 °C or higher therefore reflects both the strong historical baseline (August mean maximum near 34 °C) and stable forecast guidance through the measurement window. Only an unexpected late-day cold advection or instrument calibration error would realistically shift the outcome below threshold, scenarios assigned negligible probability given the current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$3,185Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.August 24 falls in peak summer for Zhengzhou, where climatological normals and recent China Meteorological Administration analyses show typical daily highs of 32–36 °C under subtropical high-pressure influence. Current model consensus, including updated ECMWF and CMA runs, projects surface temperatures remaining well above 32 °C with minimal frontal activity or cloud cover to suppress readings. Trader positioning at 99.6 % for 32 °C or higher therefore reflects both the strong historical baseline (August mean maximum near 34 °C) and stable forecast guidance through the measurement window. Only an unexpected late-day cold advection or instrument calibration error would realistically shift the outcome below threshold, scenarios assigned negligible probability given the current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,185Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...August 24 falls in peak summer for Zhengzhou, where climatological normals and recent China Meteorological Administration analyses show typical daily highs of 32–36 °C under subtropical high-pressure influence. Current model consensus, including updated ECMWF and CMA runs, projects surface temperatures remaining well above 32 °C with minimal frontal activity or cloud cover to suppress readings. Trader positioning at 99.6 % for 32 °C or higher therefore reflects both the strong historical baseline (August mean maximum near 34 °C) and stable forecast guidance through the measurement window. Only an unexpected late-day cold advection or instrument calibration error would realistically shift the outcome below threshold, scenarios assigned negligible probability given the current synoptic setup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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