**Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 32°C or higher today in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent numerical weather model guidance and official forecasts projecting afternoon peaks of 33–34°C under typical late-August subtropical high pressure.** Persistent warm, humid air masses, combined with limited cloud cover and light easterly winds, support strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages of 31–33°C for the period. Official sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international models align on maximum temperatures well above the 32°C threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected widespread thunderstorms or increased cloud cover that could suppress the peak by several degrees, though current guidance assigns low probability to such cooling. Market-implied odds reflect this strong scientific consensus backed by real-time observations and ensemble forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 25 de agosto?
32°C or higher 95%
31°C 1.0%
30°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$11,772 Vol.
$11,772 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
95%
32°C or higher 95%
31°C 1.0%
30°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$11,772 Vol.
$11,772 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 32°C or higher today in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent numerical weather model guidance and official forecasts projecting afternoon peaks of 33–34°C under typical late-August subtropical high pressure.** Persistent warm, humid air masses, combined with limited cloud cover and light easterly winds, support strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages of 31–33°C for the period. Official sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international models align on maximum temperatures well above the 32°C threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected widespread thunderstorms or increased cloud cover that could suppress the peak by several degrees, though current guidance assigns low probability to such cooling. Market-implied odds reflect this strong scientific consensus backed by real-time observations and ensemble forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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