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How long will ICEMAN be?

icon for How long will ICEMAN be?

How long will ICEMAN be?

60 - 70 minutes 100.0%

<30 minutes <1%

30 - 40 minutes <1%

40 - 50 minutes <1%

Polymarket

$16,810 Vol.

60 - 70 minutes 100.0%

<30 minutes <1%

30 - 40 minutes <1%

40 - 50 minutes <1%

Polymarket

$16,810 Vol.

<30 minutes

$14,921 Vol.

No

30 - 40 minutes

$1,148 Vol.

No

40 - 50 minutes

$85 Vol.

No

50 - 60 minutes

$56 Vol.

No

60 - 70 minutes

$175 Vol.

Yes

70 - 80 minutes

$185 Vol.

No

80 - 90 minutes

$88 Vol.

No

90+ minutes

$152 Vol.

No

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.

This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.

The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.

Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
Volumen
$16,810
Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.

This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.

The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.

Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
Volumen
$16,810
Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"How long will ICEMAN be?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "60 - 70 minutes" con 100%, seguido de "<30 minutes" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "How long will ICEMAN be?" ha generado $16.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "How long will ICEMAN be?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "How long will ICEMAN be?" es "60 - 70 minutes" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<30 minutes" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "How long will ICEMAN be?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.