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IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Elecciones·Casa Principal

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Lindsay James 94%

Kathy Dolter 2.4%

Clint Twedt-Ball 1.4%

Don Primus <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Lindsay James 94%

Kathy Dolter 2.4%

Clint Twedt-Ball 1.4%

Don Primus <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Lindsay James

$3,646 Vol.

94%

Kathy Dolter

$1,917 Vol.

2%

Clint Twedt-Ball

$1,628 Vol.

1%

Don Primus

$1,012 Vol.

<1%

Guy Morgan

$1,151 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Lindsay James holds a commanding 94% implied probability as the IA-02 Democratic primary winner on June 2, driven by her fundraising dominance—far outpacing rivals Kathy Dolter and Clint Twedt-Ball—along with legislative experience, EMILY's List endorsement, and strong name recognition in the open-seat race vacated by Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks for a Senate bid. Recent candidate debates on healthcare and immigration on May 13 and forums like Hiawatha's last weekend underscored policy contrasts but failed to erode her lead, with no public polling available to suggest otherwise. Trader consensus reflects her organizational edge and path-to-victory in a low-turnout primary. Rare disruptions such as a personal scandal, major gaffe, or unexpected late endorsement could shift odds in the final weeks before peak early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$9,355
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Lindsay James holds a commanding 94% implied probability as the IA-02 Democratic primary winner on June 2, driven by her fundraising dominance—far outpacing rivals Kathy Dolter and Clint Twedt-Ball—along with legislative experience, EMILY's List endorsement, and strong name recognition in the open-seat race vacated by Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks for a Senate bid. Recent candidate debates on healthcare and immigration on May 13 and forums like Hiawatha's last weekend underscored policy contrasts but failed to erode her lead, with no public polling available to suggest otherwise. Trader consensus reflects her organizational edge and path-to-victory in a low-turnout primary. Rare disruptions such as a personal scandal, major gaffe, or unexpected late endorsement could shift odds in the final weeks before peak early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$9,355
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lindsay James" con 94%, seguido de "Kathy Dolter" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 94¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Feb 25, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" es "Lindsay James" con 94%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Kathy Dolter" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.