The race to succeed retiring Representative Jerry Nadler in Manhattan’s NY-12 district remains tightly contested ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary, with Assembly Member Micah Lasher holding a modest lead on the strength of Nadler’s early endorsement and substantial outside spending from Bloomberg-backed groups. Assembly Member Alex Bores stays close behind by emphasizing AI regulation and drawing counter-support from aligned industry PACs, while Jack Schlossberg’s early name-recognition advantage has narrowed as voters focus on policy records and local ties. Older voters aged 50 and above are projected to comprise 65-75 percent of the electorate, favoring candidates with established organizational support. Recent candidate forums have highlighted divides on issues such as antisemitism and housing costs, underscoring how endorsements, targeted spending, and turnout among senior Democrats could shift the outcome in the final weeks.