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Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12
Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12

Adam Hamawy 75%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 10%

Susan Altman 8%

Matthew Adams 2.7%

Polymarket

$32,745 Vol.

Adam Hamawy 75%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 10%

Susan Altman 8%

Matthew Adams 2.7%

Polymarket

$32,745 Vol.

Adam Hamawy

$1,659 Vol.

75%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$1,166 Vol.

10%

Susan Altman

$14,933 Vol.

8%

Matthew Adams

$1,045 Vol.

3%

Brad Cohen

$2,021 Vol.

2%

Kyle Little

$1,217 Vol.

1%

Elijah Dixon

$1,085 Vol.

1%

Tennille R. McCoy

$4,875 Vol.

1%

Raymond Heck

$1,335 Vol.

1%

Adrian Mapp

$1,046 Vol.

<1%

Michael Anderson

$2,364 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 2, trader consensus prices Dr. Adam Hamawy as a strong frontrunner at 75% implied probability, propelled by his campaign's May 5-7 poll lead at 19%—up 13 points from April—following a pro-Palestine super PAC's ad blitz and Sen. Bernie Sanders' May 2 endorsement positioning him as the progressive standard-bearer. Hamawy's fundraising milestone surpassing $1 million, announced this week, further bolsters his edge in the crowded 13-candidate field after Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement. Assemblymember Verlina Reynolds-Jackson holds second at 9.5% on name recognition, while former prosecutor Susan Altman trails at 8.5% despite local party endorsements, as money and momentum define the race's dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$32,745
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 2, trader consensus prices Dr. Adam Hamawy as a strong frontrunner at 75% implied probability, propelled by his campaign's May 5-7 poll lead at 19%—up 13 points from April—following a pro-Palestine super PAC's ad blitz and Sen. Bernie Sanders' May 2 endorsement positioning him as the progressive standard-bearer. Hamawy's fundraising milestone surpassing $1 million, announced this week, further bolsters his edge in the crowded 13-candidate field after Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement. Assemblymember Verlina Reynolds-Jackson holds second at 9.5% on name recognition, while former prosecutor Susan Altman trails at 8.5% despite local party endorsements, as money and momentum define the race's dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$32,745
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Adam Hamawy" con 75%, seguido de "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 75¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 75% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12" ha generado $32.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12" es "Adam Hamawy" con 75%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 75% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NJ-12" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.