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Elecciones·Casa Principal

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Elecciones·Casa Principal

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Rebecca Bennett 77%

Brian Varela 16.6%

Michael Roth 6.0%

Tina Shah 4.6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Rebecca Bennett 77%

Brian Varela 16.6%

Michael Roth 6.0%

Tina Shah 4.6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Rebecca Bennett

$659 Vol.

83%

Brian Varela

$1,088 Vol.

23%

Michael Roth

$1,183 Vol.

7%

Tina Shah

$490 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett commands 80% trader consensus as NJ-07 Democratic primary frontrunner ahead of the June 2 contest, propelled by Q1 fundraising topping $700,000 from small donors without self-funding or corporate PACs, key county endorsements from Morris (narrowly over Roth), Hunterdon, and Union leaders including Senate President Scutari, plus a VoteVets six-figure ad buy touting her Navy helicopter pilot service. A May 11 forum featuring all four candidates—Bennett, Brian Varela, Michael Roth, and Tina Shah—highlighted district issues like affordability without eroding her edge from sweeping four of six county conventions. Varela's 15% reflects modest challenger momentum, while Shah's out-of-state House endorsements have yet to close the gap in this once-wide-open race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$3,419
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett commands 80% trader consensus as NJ-07 Democratic primary frontrunner ahead of the June 2 contest, propelled by Q1 fundraising topping $700,000 from small donors without self-funding or corporate PACs, key county endorsements from Morris (narrowly over Roth), Hunterdon, and Union leaders including Senate President Scutari, plus a VoteVets six-figure ad buy touting her Navy helicopter pilot service. A May 11 forum featuring all four candidates—Bennett, Brian Varela, Michael Roth, and Tina Shah—highlighted district issues like affordability without eroding her edge from sweeping four of six county conventions. Varela's 15% reflects modest challenger momentum, while Shah's out-of-state House endorsements have yet to close the gap in this once-wide-open race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$3,419
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rebecca Bennett" con 83%, seguido de "Brian Varela" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 83¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 83% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 22, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es "Rebecca Bennett" con 83%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 83% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Brian Varela" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.