Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 87%

Morgan Stanley 12%

Bank of America 1.1%

JPMorgan <1%

Polymarket

$50,939 Vol.

Goldman Sachs 87%

Morgan Stanley 12%

Bank of America 1.1%

JPMorgan <1%

Polymarket

$50,939 Vol.

icon for Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs

$13,817 Vol.

87%

icon for Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley

$8,600 Vol.

12%

icon for Bank of America

Bank of America

$2,483 Vol.

1%

icon for JPMorgan

JPMorgan

$3,929 Vol.

<1%

icon for Citigroup

Citigroup

$2,649 Vol.

<1%

icon for Barclays

Barclays

$3,599 Vol.

<1%

icon for UBS

UBS

$3,544 Vol.

<1%

icon for Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank

$9,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo

$3,234 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 86.5% implied probability of leading OpenAI’s IPO due to its established role as a top bookrunner since the company’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and its recent lead-left mandate on the SpaceX offering. Market positioning reflects Goldman’s stronger execution track record in large technology listings compared with Morgan Stanley, which shares bookrunner duties on OpenAI but appears favored for the lead-left slot on rival Anthropic. The potential 2027 timeline shift amid market volatility has not altered these syndication dynamics, while lower-probability banks such as JPMorgan and Citigroup remain in supporting or exploratory roles only. Traders view Goldman’s edge as durable given its allocation influence and history securing prominent positions in AI-sector debuts.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$50,939
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027
Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 86.5% implied probability of leading OpenAI’s IPO due to its established role as a top bookrunner since the company’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and its recent lead-left mandate on the SpaceX offering. Market positioning reflects Goldman’s stronger execution track record in large technology listings compared with Morgan Stanley, which shares bookrunner duties on OpenAI but appears favored for the lead-left slot on rival Anthropic. The potential 2027 timeline shift amid market volatility has not altered these syndication dynamics, while lower-probability banks such as JPMorgan and Citigroup remain in supporting or exploratory roles only. Traders view Goldman’s edge as durable given its allocation influence and history securing prominent positions in AI-sector debuts.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$50,939
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027
Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

79%
icon for ¿La capitalización de mercado de OpenAI será de $1.5 billones o más al cierre del mercado en el día de su OPI antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027?

¿La capitalización de mercado de OpenAI será de $1.5 billones o más al cierre del mercado en el día de su OPI antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027?

81%
Sí
icon for ¿La capitalización bursátil de OpenAI superará el billón de dólares al cierre de la OPI?

¿La capitalización bursátil de OpenAI superará el billón de dólares al cierre de la OPI?

95%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Goldman Sachs" con 87%, seguido de "Morgan Stanley" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 87¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" ha generado $50.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 21, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" es "Goldman Sachs" con 87%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Morgan Stanley" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.