Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on September 9 likely between 14–15°C, with clear to partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5–10 m/s, and high pressure supporting radiational cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical early-spring patterns in the Southern Hemisphere, where dew points near 14°C and low precipitation risk limit further drops. Slight model spreads arise from variations in cloud cover timing and wind strength, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15°C. Traders weigh these near-term atmospheric dynamics against historical September lows averaging near 12°C, while awaiting updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service for any overnight revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 9 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 9 de septiembre?
14°C 32%
15°C 30%
13°C 27%
12°C 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
10°C o menos
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
22%
13°C
27%
14°C
32%
15°C
30%
16°C
22%
17°C
21%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C o más
8%
14°C 32%
15°C 30%
13°C 27%
12°C 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$47 Vol.
2%
11°C
$16 Vol.
13%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
32%
15°C
$0 Vol.
30%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$125 Vol.
1%
19°C
$40 Vol.
1%
20°C o más
$37 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on September 9 likely between 14–15°C, with clear to partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5–10 m/s, and high pressure supporting radiational cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical early-spring patterns in the Southern Hemisphere, where dew points near 14°C and low precipitation risk limit further drops. Slight model spreads arise from variations in cloud cover timing and wind strength, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15°C. Traders weigh these near-term atmospheric dynamics against historical September lows averaging near 12°C, while awaiting updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service for any overnight revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$265Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on September 9 likely between 14–15°C, with clear to partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5–10 m/s, and high pressure supporting radiational cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical early-spring patterns in the Southern Hemisphere, where dew points near 14°C and low precipitation risk limit further drops. Slight model spreads arise from variations in cloud cover timing and wind strength, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15°C. Traders weigh these near-term atmospheric dynamics against historical September lows averaging near 12°C, while awaiting updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service for any overnight revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$265Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on September 9 likely between 14–15°C, with clear to partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5–10 m/s, and high pressure supporting radiational cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical early-spring patterns in the Southern Hemisphere, where dew points near 14°C and low precipitation risk limit further drops. Slight model spreads arise from variations in cloud cover timing and wind strength, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15°C. Traders weigh these near-term atmospheric dynamics against historical September lows averaging near 12°C, while awaiting updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service for any overnight revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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