The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–21°C stems primarily from a cold-air intrusion and associated heavy rainfall now affecting the Sichuan Basin, which is suppressing daytime highs and limiting overnight radiative cooling. Numerical models show variable outcomes depending on the exact timing and intensity of precipitation bands, with northerly winds enhancing mixing and keeping surface temperatures from dropping sharply. Official minimum readings from China Meteorological Administration stations in Chengdu will resolve the market, and any late-day clearing or model adjustments in the final hours could shift the recorded low within the narrow band traders currently favor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 9 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 9 de septiembre?
20°C 52%
18°C 50%
19°C 46%
16°C o menos <1%
$1,508 Vol.
$1,508 Vol.
9 sep 2026
16°C o menos
1%
17°C
38%
18°C
50%
19°C
46%
20°C
52%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
20°C 52%
18°C 50%
19°C 46%
16°C o menos <1%
$1,508 Vol.
$1,508 Vol.
9 sep 2026
16°C o menos
$328 Vol.
1%
17°C
$47 Vol.
38%
18°C
$20 Vol.
50%
19°C
$38 Vol.
46%
20°C
$0 Vol.
52%
21°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$409 Vol.
<1%
26°C o más
$245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–21°C stems primarily from a cold-air intrusion and associated heavy rainfall now affecting the Sichuan Basin, which is suppressing daytime highs and limiting overnight radiative cooling. Numerical models show variable outcomes depending on the exact timing and intensity of precipitation bands, with northerly winds enhancing mixing and keeping surface temperatures from dropping sharply. Official minimum readings from China Meteorological Administration stations in Chengdu will resolve the market, and any late-day clearing or model adjustments in the final hours could shift the recorded low within the narrow band traders currently favor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,508Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–21°C stems primarily from a cold-air intrusion and associated heavy rainfall now affecting the Sichuan Basin, which is suppressing daytime highs and limiting overnight radiative cooling. Numerical models show variable outcomes depending on the exact timing and intensity of precipitation bands, with northerly winds enhancing mixing and keeping surface temperatures from dropping sharply. Official minimum readings from China Meteorological Administration stations in Chengdu will resolve the market, and any late-day clearing or model adjustments in the final hours could shift the recorded low within the narrow band traders currently favor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,508Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–21°C stems primarily from a cold-air intrusion and associated heavy rainfall now affecting the Sichuan Basin, which is suppressing daytime highs and limiting overnight radiative cooling. Numerical models show variable outcomes depending on the exact timing and intensity of precipitation bands, with northerly winds enhancing mixing and keeping surface temperatures from dropping sharply. Official minimum readings from China Meteorological Administration stations in Chengdu will resolve the market, and any late-day clearing or model adjustments in the final hours could shift the recorded low within the narrow band traders currently favor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes