Recent forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and GFS ensembles indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on August 21 will stabilize near 27°C, with limited radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover, high humidity (70–85%), and steady southwest monsoon winds off the Arabian Sea. These conditions suppress temperature drops typical of clearer nights, aligning with August climatological averages of 27°C lows. Trader consensus, reflected in 56% implied probability for 27°C and 45% for 26°C, incorporates the absence of cold-air intrusions or anomalous subsidence, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below account for rare model outliers. Updated runs through the evening will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Karachi el 21 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Karachi el 21 de agosto?
24°C 63%
25°C 26%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
63%
25°C
26%
26°C
45%
27°C
56%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 63%
25°C 26%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
$125 Vol.
1%
23°C
$88 Vol.
1%
24°C
$116 Vol.
63%
25°C
$90 Vol.
26%
26°C
$13 Vol.
45%
27°C
$20 Vol.
56%
28°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and GFS ensembles indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on August 21 will stabilize near 27°C, with limited radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover, high humidity (70–85%), and steady southwest monsoon winds off the Arabian Sea. These conditions suppress temperature drops typical of clearer nights, aligning with August climatological averages of 27°C lows. Trader consensus, reflected in 56% implied probability for 27°C and 45% for 26°C, incorporates the absence of cold-air intrusions or anomalous subsidence, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below account for rare model outliers. Updated runs through the evening will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volumen
$1,291Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and GFS ensembles indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on August 21 will stabilize near 27°C, with limited radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover, high humidity (70–85%), and steady southwest monsoon winds off the Arabian Sea. These conditions suppress temperature drops typical of clearer nights, aligning with August climatological averages of 27°C lows. Trader consensus, reflected in 56% implied probability for 27°C and 45% for 26°C, incorporates the absence of cold-air intrusions or anomalous subsidence, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below account for rare model outliers. Updated runs through the evening will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,291Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and GFS ensembles indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on August 21 will stabilize near 27°C, with limited radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover, high humidity (70–85%), and steady southwest monsoon winds off the Arabian Sea. These conditions suppress temperature drops typical of clearer nights, aligning with August climatological averages of 27°C lows. Trader consensus, reflected in 56% implied probability for 27°C and 45% for 26°C, incorporates the absence of cold-air intrusions or anomalous subsidence, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below account for rare model outliers. Updated runs through the evening will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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