Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble runs for London indicate an overnight low near 18–20°C under a warm air mass, light winds, and clear conditions associated with the peaking heatwave. Urban heat-island effects further limit radiative cooling, anchoring trader consensus around 18°C (55.5% implied probability) while 19°C follows at 26.5%. Historical August minima average closer to 14–16°C, but current model consensus and lack of incoming cooler Atlantic air keep lower outcomes (17°C and below) at single-digit odds. Updated guidance ahead of sunrise will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 13 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 13 de agosto?
18°C 60%
19°C 32%
17°C 7%
16°C <1%
NUEVO
$13,827 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,827 Vol.
13 ago 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
7%
18°C
60%
19°C
32%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
18°C 60%
19°C 32%
17°C 7%
16°C <1%
NUEVO
$13,827 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,827 Vol.
13 ago 2026
14°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$546 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,275 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,252 Vol.
7%
18°C
$2,152 Vol.
60%
19°C
$2,875 Vol.
32%
20°C
$3,137 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,300 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$281 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble runs for London indicate an overnight low near 18–20°C under a warm air mass, light winds, and clear conditions associated with the peaking heatwave. Urban heat-island effects further limit radiative cooling, anchoring trader consensus around 18°C (55.5% implied probability) while 19°C follows at 26.5%. Historical August minima average closer to 14–16°C, but current model consensus and lack of incoming cooler Atlantic air keep lower outcomes (17°C and below) at single-digit odds. Updated guidance ahead of sunrise will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$13,827Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble runs for London indicate an overnight low near 18–20°C under a warm air mass, light winds, and clear conditions associated with the peaking heatwave. Urban heat-island effects further limit radiative cooling, anchoring trader consensus around 18°C (55.5% implied probability) while 19°C follows at 26.5%. Historical August minima average closer to 14–16°C, but current model consensus and lack of incoming cooler Atlantic air keep lower outcomes (17°C and below) at single-digit odds. Updated guidance ahead of sunrise will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,827Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble runs for London indicate an overnight low near 18–20°C under a warm air mass, light winds, and clear conditions associated with the peaking heatwave. Urban heat-island effects further limit radiative cooling, anchoring trader consensus around 18°C (55.5% implied probability) while 19°C follows at 26.5%. Historical August minima average closer to 14–16°C, but current model consensus and lack of incoming cooler Atlantic air keep lower outcomes (17°C and below) at single-digit odds. Updated guidance ahead of sunrise will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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