Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models have converged on a minimum temperature of 10°C for London on June 11, driving the 95.5% market-implied probability. Following an unusually warm May, high pressure has promoted clearer skies and moderate overnight radiative cooling consistent with early-summer climatology, where average lows sit near 11–13°C. Model guidance shows limited spread around this value, with light winds and minimal cloud expected to allow temperatures to bottom out near that threshold. A modest increase in cloud cover or a shift in steering flow could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while stronger radiational cooling under perfectly clear, calm conditions remains the main route to an 8–9°C outcome. Updated model runs tonight and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 11 de junio?
¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 11 de junio?
10°C 96%
9°C 4.1%
8°C 1.0%
11°C <1%
$19,574 Vol.
$19,574 Vol.
11 jun 2026
5°C o menos
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
96%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C o más
<1%
10°C 96%
9°C 4.1%
8°C 1.0%
11°C <1%
$19,574 Vol.
$19,574 Vol.
11 jun 2026
5°C o menos
$329 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,936 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$2,358 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,847 Vol.
1%
9°C
$2,932 Vol.
4%
10°C
$923 Vol.
96%
11°C
$1,698 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,309 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,910 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$855 Vol.
<1%
15°C o más
$2,487 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models have converged on a minimum temperature of 10°C for London on June 11, driving the 95.5% market-implied probability. Following an unusually warm May, high pressure has promoted clearer skies and moderate overnight radiative cooling consistent with early-summer climatology, where average lows sit near 11–13°C. Model guidance shows limited spread around this value, with light winds and minimal cloud expected to allow temperatures to bottom out near that threshold. A modest increase in cloud cover or a shift in steering flow could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while stronger radiational cooling under perfectly clear, calm conditions remains the main route to an 8–9°C outcome. Updated model runs tonight and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$19,574Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models have converged on a minimum temperature of 10°C for London on June 11, driving the 95.5% market-implied probability. Following an unusually warm May, high pressure has promoted clearer skies and moderate overnight radiative cooling consistent with early-summer climatology, where average lows sit near 11–13°C. Model guidance shows limited spread around this value, with light winds and minimal cloud expected to allow temperatures to bottom out near that threshold. A modest increase in cloud cover or a shift in steering flow could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while stronger radiational cooling under perfectly clear, calm conditions remains the main route to an 8–9°C outcome. Updated model runs tonight and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,574Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models have converged on a minimum temperature of 10°C for London on June 11, driving the 95.5% market-implied probability. Following an unusually warm May, high pressure has promoted clearer skies and moderate overnight radiative cooling consistent with early-summer climatology, where average lows sit near 11–13°C. Model guidance shows limited spread around this value, with light winds and minimal cloud expected to allow temperatures to bottom out near that threshold. A modest increase in cloud cover or a shift in steering flow could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while stronger radiational cooling under perfectly clear, calm conditions remains the main route to an 8–9°C outcome. Updated model runs tonight and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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