Recent monsoon-driven conditions, including an upper-air cyclonic circulation and low-pressure area over the northwest Bay of Bengal, are sustaining widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-95%, and scattered thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh. These factors suppress daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping forecast minimum temperatures for Lucknow on September 1 clustered around 25-27°C according to IMD and other models. The near-even market split between sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflects divergence among short-range guidance on shower timing, wind shifts, and any temporary clear breaks that could allow greater overnight cooling. Historical early-September lows average near 24-26°C, with the current setup favoring modest diurnal ranges typical of active monsoon conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Lucknow el 1 de septiembre?
21°C or below 97%
31°C or higher 94%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
21°C or below
97%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
48%
25°C
26%
26°C
29%
27°C
25%
28°C
49%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
94%
21°C or below 97%
31°C or higher 94%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
21°C or below
97%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
48%
25°C
26%
26°C
29%
27°C
25%
28°C
49%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon-driven conditions, including an upper-air cyclonic circulation and low-pressure area over the northwest Bay of Bengal, are sustaining widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-95%, and scattered thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh. These factors suppress daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping forecast minimum temperatures for Lucknow on September 1 clustered around 25-27°C according to IMD and other models. The near-even market split between sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflects divergence among short-range guidance on shower timing, wind shifts, and any temporary clear breaks that could allow greater overnight cooling. Historical early-September lows average near 24-26°C, with the current setup favoring modest diurnal ranges typical of active monsoon conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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