Recent monsoon dynamics and a developing low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal are the main drivers behind closely matched market-implied odds for Lucknow's September 12 minimum temperature. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70-90%, and scattered thundershowers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around 26-27°C minima consistent with current model guidance from agencies like the IMD. Clearer intervals could allow greater heat loss and lower readings near 22-24°C, while sustained moisture and rain would favor warmer nights above 28°C. Forecasts show high uncertainty in exact steering patterns and rainfall timing over the next 48 hours, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Lucknow el 12 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Lucknow el 12 de septiembre?
21°C o menos 96%
31°C o más 94%
27°C 48%
24°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
21°C o menos
96%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
40%
25°C
38%
26°C
21%
27°C
28%
28°C
38%
29°C
38%
30°C
38%
31°C o más
94%
21°C o menos 96%
31°C o más 94%
27°C 48%
24°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$0 Vol.
96%
22°C
$0 Vol.
38%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
38%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$15 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
38%
29°C
$0 Vol.
38%
30°C
$0 Vol.
38%
31°C o más
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon dynamics and a developing low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal are the main drivers behind closely matched market-implied odds for Lucknow's September 12 minimum temperature. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70-90%, and scattered thundershowers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around 26-27°C minima consistent with current model guidance from agencies like the IMD. Clearer intervals could allow greater heat loss and lower readings near 22-24°C, while sustained moisture and rain would favor warmer nights above 28°C. Forecasts show high uncertainty in exact steering patterns and rainfall timing over the next 48 hours, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$15Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon dynamics and a developing low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal are the main drivers behind closely matched market-implied odds for Lucknow's September 12 minimum temperature. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70-90%, and scattered thundershowers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around 26-27°C minima consistent with current model guidance from agencies like the IMD. Clearer intervals could allow greater heat loss and lower readings near 22-24°C, while sustained moisture and rain would favor warmer nights above 28°C. Forecasts show high uncertainty in exact steering patterns and rainfall timing over the next 48 hours, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon dynamics and a developing low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal are the main drivers behind closely matched market-implied odds for Lucknow's September 12 minimum temperature. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70-90%, and scattered thundershowers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around 26-27°C minima consistent with current model guidance from agencies like the IMD. Clearer intervals could allow greater heat loss and lower readings near 22-24°C, while sustained moisture and rain would favor warmer nights above 28°C. Forecasts show high uncertainty in exact steering patterns and rainfall timing over the next 48 hours, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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