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icon for ¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 23 de agosto?

¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 23 de agosto?

icon for ¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 23 de agosto?

¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 23 de agosto?

9°C o menos 77%

19°C o más 44%

10°C 42%

14°C 38%

Polymarket
NUEVO

9°C o menos 77%

19°C o más 44%

10°C 42%

14°C 38%

Polymarket
NUEVO

9°C o menos

$15 Vol.

77%

10°C

$15 Vol.

42%

11°C

$0 Vol.

24%

12°C

$0 Vol.

24%

13°C

$0 Vol.

27%

14°C

$0 Vol.

38%

15°C

$0 Vol.

37%

16°C

$0 Vol.

22%

17°C

$15 Vol.

8%

18°C

$15 Vol.

7%

19°C o más

$5 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from global models shows overnight lows for Mexico City on August 23 clustered near 13–15 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95 %, and light northwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico basin. Dew points holding around 12–13 °C further anchor minimum temperatures close to those values, while scattered showers and overcast skies reduce daytime heating and subsequent nocturnal drops. Model consensus remains tight but carries typical uncertainty ranges of ±1–2 °C, with some runs hinting at slightly stronger cooling if winds weaken or skies clear briefly. Historical August minima average near 14 °C, providing a benchmark that traders weigh against current conditions and the next model updates from agencies such as CONAGUA and ECMWF.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$65
Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from global models shows overnight lows for Mexico City on August 23 clustered near 13–15 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95 %, and light northwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico basin. Dew points holding around 12–13 °C further anchor minimum temperatures close to those values, while scattered showers and overcast skies reduce daytime heating and subsequent nocturnal drops. Model consensus remains tight but carries typical uncertainty ranges of ±1–2 °C, with some runs hinting at slightly stronger cooling if winds weaken or skies clear briefly. Historical August minima average near 14 °C, providing a benchmark that traders weigh against current conditions and the next model updates from agencies such as CONAGUA and ECMWF.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$65
Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 23 de agosto?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "9°C o menos" con 39%, seguido de "14°C" con 38%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 23 de agosto?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 22, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 23 de agosto?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 23 de agosto?" es "9°C o menos" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "14°C" con 38%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 23 de agosto?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.