Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on August 13, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely in the 72–75 °F range due to limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity, and light southerly flow. These conditions suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop seen in clearer, drier August nights, keeping the lowest reading well above seasonal averages near Central Park. Traders have priced the 74–75 °F bin as the modal outcome at 51.5 % implied probability, reflecting consensus on persistent warmth and only modest variability in forecast guidance ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 13 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 13 de agosto?
74-75°F 55%
76-77°F 27%
72-73°F 15%
68-69°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
61°F o menos
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
55%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F o más
<1%
74-75°F 55%
76-77°F 27%
72-73°F 15%
68-69°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
61°F o menos
$276 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$276 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$87 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$389 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$365 Vol.
5%
70-71°F
$723 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$1,145 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$1,685 Vol.
55%
76-77°F
$575 Vol.
19%
78-79°F
$615 Vol.
<1%
80°F o más
$298 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on August 13, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely in the 72–75 °F range due to limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity, and light southerly flow. These conditions suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop seen in clearer, drier August nights, keeping the lowest reading well above seasonal averages near Central Park. Traders have priced the 74–75 °F bin as the modal outcome at 51.5 % implied probability, reflecting consensus on persistent warmth and only modest variability in forecast guidance ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$6,435Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on August 13, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely in the 72–75 °F range due to limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity, and light southerly flow. These conditions suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop seen in clearer, drier August nights, keeping the lowest reading well above seasonal averages near Central Park. Traders have priced the 74–75 °F bin as the modal outcome at 51.5 % implied probability, reflecting consensus on persistent warmth and only modest variability in forecast guidance ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,435Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on August 13, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely in the 72–75 °F range due to limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity, and light southerly flow. These conditions suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop seen in clearer, drier August nights, keeping the lowest reading well above seasonal averages near Central Park. Traders have priced the 74–75 °F bin as the modal outcome at 51.5 % implied probability, reflecting consensus on persistent warmth and only modest variability in forecast guidance ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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