Trader consensus around a 70-71°F low for New York City on August 4 reflects National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing typical early-August overnight conditions with high humidity, light southerly flow, and limited radiative cooling at LaGuardia Airport. Seasonal baselines place normal minima near 68-72°F, and recent model runs converged on this narrow band without signals for a cold front or clear-sky enhancement that would allow greater heat loss. Urban heat island effects further anchor readings in the low 70s. A realistic shift could occur only if post-sunset skies cleared rapidly or an unforecast marine layer strengthened, potentially trimming the low by a degree or two before official verification closes the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 4 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 4 de agosto?
70-71°F 99.0%
68-69°F 1.2%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$14,910 Vol.
$14,910 Vol.
4 ago 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
99%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 99.0%
68-69°F 1.2%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$14,910 Vol.
$14,910 Vol.
4 ago 2026
59°F or below
$469 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$409 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$810 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,334 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$3,074 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$1,466 Vol.
99%
72-73°F
$3,055 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,965 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$778 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$424 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around a 70-71°F low for New York City on August 4 reflects National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing typical early-August overnight conditions with high humidity, light southerly flow, and limited radiative cooling at LaGuardia Airport. Seasonal baselines place normal minima near 68-72°F, and recent model runs converged on this narrow band without signals for a cold front or clear-sky enhancement that would allow greater heat loss. Urban heat island effects further anchor readings in the low 70s. A realistic shift could occur only if post-sunset skies cleared rapidly or an unforecast marine layer strengthened, potentially trimming the low by a degree or two before official verification closes the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Volumen
$14,910Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around a 70-71°F low for New York City on August 4 reflects National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing typical early-August overnight conditions with high humidity, light southerly flow, and limited radiative cooling at LaGuardia Airport. Seasonal baselines place normal minima near 68-72°F, and recent model runs converged on this narrow band without signals for a cold front or clear-sky enhancement that would allow greater heat loss. Urban heat island effects further anchor readings in the low 70s. A realistic shift could occur only if post-sunset skies cleared rapidly or an unforecast marine layer strengthened, potentially trimming the low by a degree or two before official verification closes the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,910Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around a 70-71°F low for New York City on August 4 reflects National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing typical early-August overnight conditions with high humidity, light southerly flow, and limited radiative cooling at LaGuardia Airport. Seasonal baselines place normal minima near 68-72°F, and recent model runs converged on this narrow band without signals for a cold front or clear-sky enhancement that would allow greater heat loss. Urban heat island effects further anchor readings in the low 70s. A realistic shift could occur only if post-sunset skies cleared rapidly or an unforecast marine layer strengthened, potentially trimming the low by a degree or two before official verification closes the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes