Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 5, 2026, indicate an overnight minimum near 70–71 °F under a warm, humid air mass with southerly flow and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 70–71 °F bin at 63.5 % implied probability, as models show minimal diurnal range and above-average temperatures consistent with the Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook. Recent observations from Central Park ASOS confirm dew points in the low 60s °F and light winds, supporting limited overnight drops. Traders appear to weigh the consensus model guidance heavily, with lower bins (68–69 °F) at just 10.5 % reflecting the low likelihood of a cooler boundary-layer airmass arriving before dawn. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before the market resolves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 5 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 5 de agosto?
70-71°F 63%
72-73°F 35%
68-69°F 12%
74-75°F 5.1%
NUEVO
$11,534 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,534 Vol.
5 ago 2026
57°F o menos
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
63%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
5%
76°F o más
<1%
70-71°F 63%
72-73°F 35%
68-69°F 12%
74-75°F 5.1%
NUEVO
$11,534 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,534 Vol.
5 ago 2026
57°F o menos
$247 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$362 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$365 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$918 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$1,150 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$782 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,041 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$1,701 Vol.
63%
72-73°F
$475 Vol.
30%
74-75°F
$2,819 Vol.
5%
76°F o más
$1,757 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 5, 2026, indicate an overnight minimum near 70–71 °F under a warm, humid air mass with southerly flow and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 70–71 °F bin at 63.5 % implied probability, as models show minimal diurnal range and above-average temperatures consistent with the Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook. Recent observations from Central Park ASOS confirm dew points in the low 60s °F and light winds, supporting limited overnight drops. Traders appear to weigh the consensus model guidance heavily, with lower bins (68–69 °F) at just 10.5 % reflecting the low likelihood of a cooler boundary-layer airmass arriving before dawn. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$11,534Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 5, 2026, indicate an overnight minimum near 70–71 °F under a warm, humid air mass with southerly flow and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 70–71 °F bin at 63.5 % implied probability, as models show minimal diurnal range and above-average temperatures consistent with the Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook. Recent observations from Central Park ASOS confirm dew points in the low 60s °F and light winds, supporting limited overnight drops. Traders appear to weigh the consensus model guidance heavily, with lower bins (68–69 °F) at just 10.5 % reflecting the low likelihood of a cooler boundary-layer airmass arriving before dawn. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,534Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 5, 2026, indicate an overnight minimum near 70–71 °F under a warm, humid air mass with southerly flow and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 70–71 °F bin at 63.5 % implied probability, as models show minimal diurnal range and above-average temperatures consistent with the Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook. Recent observations from Central Park ASOS confirm dew points in the low 60s °F and light winds, supporting limited overnight drops. Traders appear to weigh the consensus model guidance heavily, with lower bins (68–69 °F) at just 10.5 % reflecting the low likelihood of a cooler boundary-layer airmass arriving before dawn. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before the market resolves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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