Traders see nearly equal odds on extremes for Panama City’s overnight low on August 24 because short-range forecast models show notable spread in expected minimum temperatures amid the rainy season’s typical cloudiness and humidity. Historical August lows average 24°C with a narrow diurnal range driven by high moisture limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Key variables include timing of convective showers, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 2–4°C. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather currently points to 25–26°C, yet divergence among global models sustains the balanced market on both the 30°C+ and ≤20°C tails. Updated runs and local observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en la ciudad de Panamá el 24 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en la ciudad de Panamá el 24 de agosto?
20°C o menos 74%
30°C o más 38%
26°C 22%
27°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
20°C o menos
74%
21°C
7%
22°C
16%
23°C
16%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
22%
27°C
20%
28°C
17%
29°C
14%
30°C o más
38%
20°C o menos 74%
30°C o más 38%
26°C 22%
27°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$55 Vol.
74%
21°C
$55 Vol.
7%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
16%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C
$55 Vol.
14%
30°C o más
$270 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly equal odds on extremes for Panama City’s overnight low on August 24 because short-range forecast models show notable spread in expected minimum temperatures amid the rainy season’s typical cloudiness and humidity. Historical August lows average 24°C with a narrow diurnal range driven by high moisture limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Key variables include timing of convective showers, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 2–4°C. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather currently points to 25–26°C, yet divergence among global models sustains the balanced market on both the 30°C+ and ≤20°C tails. Updated runs and local observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$435Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly equal odds on extremes for Panama City’s overnight low on August 24 because short-range forecast models show notable spread in expected minimum temperatures amid the rainy season’s typical cloudiness and humidity. Historical August lows average 24°C with a narrow diurnal range driven by high moisture limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Key variables include timing of convective showers, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 2–4°C. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather currently points to 25–26°C, yet divergence among global models sustains the balanced market on both the 30°C+ and ≤20°C tails. Updated runs and local observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$435Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see nearly equal odds on extremes for Panama City’s overnight low on August 24 because short-range forecast models show notable spread in expected minimum temperatures amid the rainy season’s typical cloudiness and humidity. Historical August lows average 24°C with a narrow diurnal range driven by high moisture limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Key variables include timing of convective showers, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 2–4°C. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather currently points to 25–26°C, yet divergence among global models sustains the balanced market on both the 30°C+ and ≤20°C tails. Updated runs and local observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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