Traders are closely split between 18°C and 19°C for Paris’s daily minimum on August 10 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show nighttime radiative cooling under mostly clear skies yielding lows near 18–20°C, with modest model spread around the exact value. A lingering warm air mass from the current European heatwave supports the upper end of that range, while potential Atlantic moisture advection or increased low-level cloud cover could enhance downward longwave radiation and nudge the minimum a degree lower. Wind speeds remaining light overnight and surface humidity levels around 60–70% limit further cooling below 17°C. With resolution only two days away, the next model runs and Météo-France updates on boundary-layer mixing will likely tighten the market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 10 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 10 de agosto?
18°C 36%
19°C 33%
17°C 16%
20°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
16°C o menos
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
36%
19°C
33%
20°C
14%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
18°C 36%
19°C 33%
17°C 16%
20°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
16°C o menos
$0 Vol.
5%
17°C
$40 Vol.
16%
18°C
$39 Vol.
36%
19°C
$37 Vol.
33%
20°C
$0 Vol.
14%
21°C
$34 Vol.
4%
22°C
$44 Vol.
3%
23°C
$44 Vol.
1%
24°C
$32 Vol.
1%
25°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
26°C o más
$34 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are closely split between 18°C and 19°C for Paris’s daily minimum on August 10 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show nighttime radiative cooling under mostly clear skies yielding lows near 18–20°C, with modest model spread around the exact value. A lingering warm air mass from the current European heatwave supports the upper end of that range, while potential Atlantic moisture advection or increased low-level cloud cover could enhance downward longwave radiation and nudge the minimum a degree lower. Wind speeds remaining light overnight and surface humidity levels around 60–70% limit further cooling below 17°C. With resolution only two days away, the next model runs and Météo-France updates on boundary-layer mixing will likely tighten the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$331Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are closely split between 18°C and 19°C for Paris’s daily minimum on August 10 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show nighttime radiative cooling under mostly clear skies yielding lows near 18–20°C, with modest model spread around the exact value. A lingering warm air mass from the current European heatwave supports the upper end of that range, while potential Atlantic moisture advection or increased low-level cloud cover could enhance downward longwave radiation and nudge the minimum a degree lower. Wind speeds remaining light overnight and surface humidity levels around 60–70% limit further cooling below 17°C. With resolution only two days away, the next model runs and Météo-France updates on boundary-layer mixing will likely tighten the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$331Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are closely split between 18°C and 19°C for Paris’s daily minimum on August 10 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show nighttime radiative cooling under mostly clear skies yielding lows near 18–20°C, with modest model spread around the exact value. A lingering warm air mass from the current European heatwave supports the upper end of that range, while potential Atlantic moisture advection or increased low-level cloud cover could enhance downward longwave radiation and nudge the minimum a degree lower. Wind speeds remaining light overnight and surface humidity levels around 60–70% limit further cooling below 17°C. With resolution only two days away, the next model runs and Météo-France updates on boundary-layer mixing will likely tighten the market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes