Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Paris minimum temperatures on September 9 will likely reach 12–13°C overnight into early morning under partly clear skies and light northwest winds, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities of 46% for 12°C and 33.5% for 13°C. These align with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C and follow a recent cooling trend after warmer early-September conditions. Model consensus shows limited overnight cloud cover and modest dew points favoring radiative cooling to these levels, though slight variations in wind or timing could shift the exact minimum. Updated model runs and official observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 9 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 9 de septiembre?
12°C 46%
13°C 34%
14°C 8%
11°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
8°C o menos
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
46%
13°C
34%
14°C
8%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superior
1%
12°C 46%
13°C 34%
14°C 8%
11°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
8°C o menos
$45 Vol.
1%
9°C
$66 Vol.
2%
10°C
$84 Vol.
2%
11°C
$165 Vol.
7%
12°C
$570 Vol.
46%
13°C
$2,412 Vol.
34%
14°C
$209 Vol.
8%
15°C
$54 Vol.
2%
16°C
$48 Vol.
1%
17°C
$54 Vol.
<1%
18°C o superior
$43 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Paris minimum temperatures on September 9 will likely reach 12–13°C overnight into early morning under partly clear skies and light northwest winds, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities of 46% for 12°C and 33.5% for 13°C. These align with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C and follow a recent cooling trend after warmer early-September conditions. Model consensus shows limited overnight cloud cover and modest dew points favoring radiative cooling to these levels, though slight variations in wind or timing could shift the exact minimum. Updated model runs and official observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$3,751Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Paris minimum temperatures on September 9 will likely reach 12–13°C overnight into early morning under partly clear skies and light northwest winds, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities of 46% for 12°C and 33.5% for 13°C. These align with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C and follow a recent cooling trend after warmer early-September conditions. Model consensus shows limited overnight cloud cover and modest dew points favoring radiative cooling to these levels, though slight variations in wind or timing could shift the exact minimum. Updated model runs and official observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,751Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Paris minimum temperatures on September 9 will likely reach 12–13°C overnight into early morning under partly clear skies and light northwest winds, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities of 46% for 12°C and 33.5% for 13°C. These align with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.2°C and follow a recent cooling trend after warmer early-September conditions. Model consensus shows limited overnight cloud cover and modest dew points favoring radiative cooling to these levels, though slight variations in wind or timing could shift the exact minimum. Updated model runs and official observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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