Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Qingdao around 18–19°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, consistent with early September climatology influenced by the moderating Yellow Sea. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in minimum temperature resolution, with 23°C or higher leading at 41.5% implied probability amid closely bunched outcomes from 16°C to 23°C or above. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, potential shifts in wind direction or sea breeze effects, and model spread on exact timing of any clearing. Official station data and updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 10 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 10 de septiembre?
23°C o más 75%
16°C 32%
17°C 28%
21°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
13°C o menos
24%
14°C
18%
15°C
25%
16°C
32%
17°C
28%
18°C
11%
19°C
8%
20°C
19%
21°C
27%
22°C
18%
23°C o más
75%
23°C o más 75%
16°C 32%
17°C 28%
21°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
13°C o menos
$0 Vol.
24%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
32%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$10 Vol.
8%
20°C
$25 Vol.
19%
21°C
$25 Vol.
27%
22°C
$25 Vol.
18%
23°C o más
$51 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Qingdao around 18–19°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, consistent with early September climatology influenced by the moderating Yellow Sea. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in minimum temperature resolution, with 23°C or higher leading at 41.5% implied probability amid closely bunched outcomes from 16°C to 23°C or above. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, potential shifts in wind direction or sea breeze effects, and model spread on exact timing of any clearing. Official station data and updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$136Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Qingdao around 18–19°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, consistent with early September climatology influenced by the moderating Yellow Sea. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in minimum temperature resolution, with 23°C or higher leading at 41.5% implied probability amid closely bunched outcomes from 16°C to 23°C or above. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, potential shifts in wind direction or sea breeze effects, and model spread on exact timing of any clearing. Official station data and updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$136Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Qingdao around 18–19°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, consistent with early September climatology influenced by the moderating Yellow Sea. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in minimum temperature resolution, with 23°C or higher leading at 41.5% implied probability amid closely bunched outcomes from 16°C to 23°C or above. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, potential shifts in wind direction or sea breeze effects, and model spread on exact timing of any clearing. Official station data and updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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