Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate San Francisco overnight lows in the upper 50s on August 23, reflecting persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and typical August coastal cooling from the Pacific. Cloud cover extent will modulate radiative cooling overnight, while variations in wind speed affect boundary layer mixing and dew point depression. Historical averages near 56°F provide context, yet model spread in exact minimum timing and local microclimates creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 56–59°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 23 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 23 de agosto?
49°F o menos 78%
68°F o más 65%
58-59°F 53%
50-51°F 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
49°F o menos
78%
50-51°F
50%
52-53°F
28%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
33%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
46%
68°F o más
65%
49°F o menos 78%
68°F o más 65%
58-59°F 53%
50-51°F 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
49°F o menos
$10 Vol.
78%
50-51°F
$20 Vol.
50%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
28%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
28%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
30%
58-59°F
$13 Vol.
33%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
28%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
27%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
24%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
46%
68°F o más
$5 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate San Francisco overnight lows in the upper 50s on August 23, reflecting persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and typical August coastal cooling from the Pacific. Cloud cover extent will modulate radiative cooling overnight, while variations in wind speed affect boundary layer mixing and dew point depression. Historical averages near 56°F provide context, yet model spread in exact minimum timing and local microclimates creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 56–59°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$58Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate San Francisco overnight lows in the upper 50s on August 23, reflecting persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and typical August coastal cooling from the Pacific. Cloud cover extent will modulate radiative cooling overnight, while variations in wind speed affect boundary layer mixing and dew point depression. Historical averages near 56°F provide context, yet model spread in exact minimum timing and local microclimates creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 56–59°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$58Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate San Francisco overnight lows in the upper 50s on August 23, reflecting persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and typical August coastal cooling from the Pacific. Cloud cover extent will modulate radiative cooling overnight, while variations in wind speed affect boundary layer mixing and dew point depression. Historical averages near 56°F provide context, yet model spread in exact minimum timing and local microclimates creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 56–59°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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