Diverging short-range forecast models on the persistence of cool marine air versus potential offshore flow create the balanced market odds for San Francisco’s lowest temperature on September 8. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show possible overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s under typical September marine-layer influence, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 55.9 °F, while some solutions indicate warming into the mid-to-upper 60s if winds shift easterly. Recent observations from early September 2026 have featured lows of 56–61 °F, underscoring the narrow range separating the leading 58–59 °F, 60–61 °F, and 68 °F-or-higher bins. Traders are weighting the next NWS forecast updates and model consensus runs expected over the next 24–48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 8 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 8 de septiembre?
68°F o más 64%
49°F o menos 59%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
49°F o menos
59%
50-51°F
37%
52-53°F
37%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
29%
58-59°F
38%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
49%
68°F o más
64%
68°F o más 64%
49°F o menos 59%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
49°F o menos
$0 Vol.
59%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
37%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
37%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
25%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
29%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
38%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
32%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
49%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
49%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
49%
68°F o más
$0 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Diverging short-range forecast models on the persistence of cool marine air versus potential offshore flow create the balanced market odds for San Francisco’s lowest temperature on September 8. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show possible overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s under typical September marine-layer influence, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 55.9 °F, while some solutions indicate warming into the mid-to-upper 60s if winds shift easterly. Recent observations from early September 2026 have featured lows of 56–61 °F, underscoring the narrow range separating the leading 58–59 °F, 60–61 °F, and 68 °F-or-higher bins. Traders are weighting the next NWS forecast updates and model consensus runs expected over the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Diverging short-range forecast models on the persistence of cool marine air versus potential offshore flow create the balanced market odds for San Francisco’s lowest temperature on September 8. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show possible overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s under typical September marine-layer influence, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 55.9 °F, while some solutions indicate warming into the mid-to-upper 60s if winds shift easterly. Recent observations from early September 2026 have featured lows of 56–61 °F, underscoring the narrow range separating the leading 58–59 °F, 60–61 °F, and 68 °F-or-higher bins. Traders are weighting the next NWS forecast updates and model consensus runs expected over the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Diverging short-range forecast models on the persistence of cool marine air versus potential offshore flow create the balanced market odds for San Francisco’s lowest temperature on September 8. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show possible overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s under typical September marine-layer influence, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 55.9 °F, while some solutions indicate warming into the mid-to-upper 60s if winds shift easterly. Recent observations from early September 2026 have featured lows of 56–61 °F, underscoring the narrow range separating the leading 58–59 °F, 60–61 °F, and 68 °F-or-higher bins. Traders are weighting the next NWS forecast updates and model consensus runs expected over the next 24–48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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