Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 6 project a daily maximum temperature range of 27–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with a few showers, brief sunshine periods, and light south to southwest winds. This setup creates tight uncertainty between the market's leading 30°C and 31°C outcomes because reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus and historical September baselines around 30–31°C support the close probabilities, with any late-day clearing or lighter shower activity potentially allowing the higher end while stronger moisture or earlier rain would cap readings nearer 30°C. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 6 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 6 de septiembre?
31°C 38%
30°C 37%
29°C 15%
32°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
15%
30°C
37%
31°C
38%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C o más
<1%
31°C 38%
30°C 37%
29°C 15%
32°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$245 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$284 Vol.
3%
29°C
$664 Vol.
15%
30°C
$55 Vol.
37%
31°C
$310 Vol.
38%
32°C
$727 Vol.
10%
33°C
$67 Vol.
3%
34°C
$40 Vol.
1%
35°C o más
$29 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 6 project a daily maximum temperature range of 27–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with a few showers, brief sunshine periods, and light south to southwest winds. This setup creates tight uncertainty between the market's leading 30°C and 31°C outcomes because reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus and historical September baselines around 30–31°C support the close probabilities, with any late-day clearing or lighter shower activity potentially allowing the higher end while stronger moisture or earlier rain would cap readings nearer 30°C. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,638Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 6 project a daily maximum temperature range of 27–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with a few showers, brief sunshine periods, and light south to southwest winds. This setup creates tight uncertainty between the market's leading 30°C and 31°C outcomes because reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus and historical September baselines around 30–31°C support the close probabilities, with any late-day clearing or lighter shower activity potentially allowing the higher end while stronger moisture or earlier rain would cap readings nearer 30°C. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,638Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 6 project a daily maximum temperature range of 27–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with a few showers, brief sunshine periods, and light south to southwest winds. This setup creates tight uncertainty between the market's leading 30°C and 31°C outcomes because reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus and historical September baselines around 30–31°C support the close probabilities, with any late-day clearing or lighter shower activity potentially allowing the higher end while stronger moisture or earlier rain would cap readings nearer 30°C. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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