Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a minimum of 27°C for September 6 amid generally cloudy conditions, scattered showers, and light southerly to southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble models and regional guidance show a tight range centered near 26–27°C, with the split in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over exact cloud cover, shower timing, and localized wind patterns that can suppress or enhance overnight temperature drops by 1–2°C. Recent continental airstream influences and the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms keep extremes below 25°C or above 28°C unlikely, though updated model runs ahead of the overnight period could refine the consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 6 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 6 de septiembre?
27°C 51%
26°C 38%
25°C 10%
29°C 3.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
22°C o menos
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
10%
26°C
38%
27°C
51%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C o más
1%
27°C 51%
26°C 38%
25°C 10%
29°C 3.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
22°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$294 Vol.
10%
26°C
$196 Vol.
38%
27°C
$750 Vol.
51%
28°C
$38 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C o más
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a minimum of 27°C for September 6 amid generally cloudy conditions, scattered showers, and light southerly to southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble models and regional guidance show a tight range centered near 26–27°C, with the split in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over exact cloud cover, shower timing, and localized wind patterns that can suppress or enhance overnight temperature drops by 1–2°C. Recent continental airstream influences and the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms keep extremes below 25°C or above 28°C unlikely, though updated model runs ahead of the overnight period could refine the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,278Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a minimum of 27°C for September 6 amid generally cloudy conditions, scattered showers, and light southerly to southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble models and regional guidance show a tight range centered near 26–27°C, with the split in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over exact cloud cover, shower timing, and localized wind patterns that can suppress or enhance overnight temperature drops by 1–2°C. Recent continental airstream influences and the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms keep extremes below 25°C or above 28°C unlikely, though updated model runs ahead of the overnight period could refine the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,278Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a minimum of 27°C for September 6 amid generally cloudy conditions, scattered showers, and light southerly to southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble models and regional guidance show a tight range centered near 26–27°C, with the split in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over exact cloud cover, shower timing, and localized wind patterns that can suppress or enhance overnight temperature drops by 1–2°C. Recent continental airstream influences and the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms keep extremes below 25°C or above 28°C unlikely, though updated model runs ahead of the overnight period could refine the consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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