Recent forecasts from INMET and international models point to an overnight minimum near 12–14 °C in São Paulo on August 21 under increasing cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary advecting cooler maritime air. This setup limits radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, keeping the low close to the seasonal climatological range of 13–15 °C while introducing modest uncertainty from exact cloud timing and urban heat-island influences at official measurement sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 12–16 °C outcomes because 1–2 °C differences hinge on these small-scale factors, with model ensembles showing limited spread but still allowing for slight revisions as new runs incorporate latest observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 21 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 21 de agosto?
14°C 49%
15°C 48%
16°C 48%
11°C 47%
$1,366 Vol.
$1,366 Vol.
21 ago 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
46%
11°C
47%
12°C
47%
13°C
45%
14°C
49%
15°C
48%
16°C
48%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 49%
15°C 48%
16°C 48%
11°C 47%
$1,366 Vol.
$1,366 Vol.
21 ago 2026
9°C or below
$153 Vol.
1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
46%
11°C
$0 Vol.
47%
12°C
$28 Vol.
47%
13°C
$42 Vol.
45%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
48%
16°C
$0 Vol.
48%
17°C
$161 Vol.
1%
18°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$853 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from INMET and international models point to an overnight minimum near 12–14 °C in São Paulo on August 21 under increasing cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary advecting cooler maritime air. This setup limits radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, keeping the low close to the seasonal climatological range of 13–15 °C while introducing modest uncertainty from exact cloud timing and urban heat-island influences at official measurement sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 12–16 °C outcomes because 1–2 °C differences hinge on these small-scale factors, with model ensembles showing limited spread but still allowing for slight revisions as new runs incorporate latest observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volumen
$1,366Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from INMET and international models point to an overnight minimum near 12–14 °C in São Paulo on August 21 under increasing cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary advecting cooler maritime air. This setup limits radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, keeping the low close to the seasonal climatological range of 13–15 °C while introducing modest uncertainty from exact cloud timing and urban heat-island influences at official measurement sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 12–16 °C outcomes because 1–2 °C differences hinge on these small-scale factors, with model ensembles showing limited spread but still allowing for slight revisions as new runs incorporate latest observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,366Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from INMET and international models point to an overnight minimum near 12–14 °C in São Paulo on August 21 under increasing cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary advecting cooler maritime air. This setup limits radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, keeping the low close to the seasonal climatological range of 13–15 °C while introducing modest uncertainty from exact cloud timing and urban heat-island influences at official measurement sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 12–16 °C outcomes because 1–2 °C differences hinge on these small-scale factors, with model ensembles showing limited spread but still allowing for slight revisions as new runs incorporate latest observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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