The approaching cold front on September 5 drives trader sentiment, with models showing variable overnight cooling as polar air arrives amid increasing cloud cover and showers. Official forecasts from sources like INMET-aligned outlooks and ensembles indicate minimum temperatures clustering near 14–16°C, where timing of frontal passage and wind shifts determine whether radiative cooling allows a dip to 15°C or holds near 16°C. Recent runs highlight model spread in dew points and precipitation rates, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps the leading outcomes tightly matched at implied probabilities of 51% for 16°C and 44% for 15°C. Updated model guidance and real-time observations from São Paulo stations will refine these ranges before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 5 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 5 de septiembre?
13°C 61%
22°C o más 59%
18°C 56%
16°C 51%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
12°C o menos
31%
13°C
61%
14°C
33%
15°C
43%
16°C
51%
17°C
34%
18°C
56%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C o más
59%
13°C 61%
22°C o más 59%
18°C 56%
16°C 51%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$0 Vol.
31%
13°C
$0 Vol.
61%
14°C
$0 Vol.
33%
15°C
$0 Vol.
43%
16°C
$0 Vol.
51%
17°C
$16 Vol.
34%
18°C
$316 Vol.
56%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C o más
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The approaching cold front on September 5 drives trader sentiment, with models showing variable overnight cooling as polar air arrives amid increasing cloud cover and showers. Official forecasts from sources like INMET-aligned outlooks and ensembles indicate minimum temperatures clustering near 14–16°C, where timing of frontal passage and wind shifts determine whether radiative cooling allows a dip to 15°C or holds near 16°C. Recent runs highlight model spread in dew points and precipitation rates, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps the leading outcomes tightly matched at implied probabilities of 51% for 16°C and 44% for 15°C. Updated model guidance and real-time observations from São Paulo stations will refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$316Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The approaching cold front on September 5 drives trader sentiment, with models showing variable overnight cooling as polar air arrives amid increasing cloud cover and showers. Official forecasts from sources like INMET-aligned outlooks and ensembles indicate minimum temperatures clustering near 14–16°C, where timing of frontal passage and wind shifts determine whether radiative cooling allows a dip to 15°C or holds near 16°C. Recent runs highlight model spread in dew points and precipitation rates, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps the leading outcomes tightly matched at implied probabilities of 51% for 16°C and 44% for 15°C. Updated model guidance and real-time observations from São Paulo stations will refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$316Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The approaching cold front on September 5 drives trader sentiment, with models showing variable overnight cooling as polar air arrives amid increasing cloud cover and showers. Official forecasts from sources like INMET-aligned outlooks and ensembles indicate minimum temperatures clustering near 14–16°C, where timing of frontal passage and wind shifts determine whether radiative cooling allows a dip to 15°C or holds near 16°C. Recent runs highlight model spread in dew points and precipitation rates, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps the leading outcomes tightly matched at implied probabilities of 51% for 16°C and 44% for 15°C. Updated model guidance and real-time observations from São Paulo stations will refine these ranges before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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