Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a minimum temperature near 26°C for Taipei on August 24, consistent with typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity and frequent afternoon thundershowers that restrict overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–26°C, with limited spread arising from variable rainfall timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer wind mixing that can either enhance or suppress cooling before dawn. Trader consensus around the 26°C and 27°C outcomes reflects this narrow scientific range and historical August baselines, while elevated probability on 21°C or below captures tail risks from stronger-than-expected showers or clearer skies permitting greater heat loss. Updated model runs and CWA guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Taipéi el 24 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Taipéi el 24 de agosto?
22°C 48%
27°C 29%
26°C 29%
21°C or below 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
21°C or below
28%
22°C
48%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
25%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
11%
22°C 48%
27°C 29%
26°C 29%
21°C or below 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
21°C or below
$5,276 Vol.
28%
22°C
$5 Vol.
48%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
29%
28°C
$75 Vol.
25%
29°C
$60 Vol.
12%
30°C
$75 Vol.
5%
31°C or higher
$1,969 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a minimum temperature near 26°C for Taipei on August 24, consistent with typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity and frequent afternoon thundershowers that restrict overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–26°C, with limited spread arising from variable rainfall timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer wind mixing that can either enhance or suppress cooling before dawn. Trader consensus around the 26°C and 27°C outcomes reflects this narrow scientific range and historical August baselines, while elevated probability on 21°C or below captures tail risks from stronger-than-expected showers or clearer skies permitting greater heat loss. Updated model runs and CWA guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$7,460Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a minimum temperature near 26°C for Taipei on August 24, consistent with typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity and frequent afternoon thundershowers that restrict overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–26°C, with limited spread arising from variable rainfall timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer wind mixing that can either enhance or suppress cooling before dawn. Trader consensus around the 26°C and 27°C outcomes reflects this narrow scientific range and historical August baselines, while elevated probability on 21°C or below captures tail risks from stronger-than-expected showers or clearer skies permitting greater heat loss. Updated model runs and CWA guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,460Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a minimum temperature near 26°C for Taipei on August 24, consistent with typical subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity and frequent afternoon thundershowers that restrict overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–26°C, with limited spread arising from variable rainfall timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer wind mixing that can either enhance or suppress cooling before dawn. Trader consensus around the 26°C and 27°C outcomes reflects this narrow scientific range and historical August baselines, while elevated probability on 21°C or below captures tail risks from stronger-than-expected showers or clearer skies permitting greater heat loss. Updated model runs and CWA guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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