**Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 11 will likely range from 9–12°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light winds and high pressure around 1020–1022 hPa.** Recent cooling after warmer early-September days, combined with a shift to westerly flow and reduced daytime heating, supports these values, consistent with climatological September minima near 10°C. Multiple forecast sources show minor model spread in exact timing of the nocturnal minimum and cloud cover, producing closely matched market probabilities across 5–8°C outcomes. Traders are weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for the period, with upcoming model runs and local observations expected to refine the range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 11 de septiembre?
15°C o más 50%
5°C o menos 49%
7°C 31%
8°C 27%
5°C o menos
49%
6°C
19%
7°C
31%
8°C
27%
9°C
10%
10°C
18%
11°C
19%
12°C
17%
13°C
5%
14°C
7%
15°C o más
50%
15°C o más 50%
5°C o menos 49%
7°C 31%
8°C 27%
5°C o menos
49%
6°C
19%
7°C
31%
8°C
27%
9°C
10%
10°C
18%
11°C
19%
12°C
17%
13°C
5%
14°C
7%
15°C o más
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 11 will likely range from 9–12°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light winds and high pressure around 1020–1022 hPa.** Recent cooling after warmer early-September days, combined with a shift to westerly flow and reduced daytime heating, supports these values, consistent with climatological September minima near 10°C. Multiple forecast sources show minor model spread in exact timing of the nocturnal minimum and cloud cover, producing closely matched market probabilities across 5–8°C outcomes. Traders are weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for the period, with upcoming model runs and local observations expected to refine the range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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