Clear skies and light westerly winds overnight are driving current market-implied odds toward an 11–13°C minimum in Warsaw on September 2, as high-pressure building favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 21–23°C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows overnight lows clustered between 11–15°C, with the tight spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that modulate heat loss from the surface. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical minima near 12°C, so traders are weighting the latest model consensus against potential slight warming if clouds increase or winds strengthen. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 2 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 2 de septiembre?
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
9°C or below
5%
10°C
81%
11°C
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
28%
16°C
100%
17°C
14%
18°C
100%
19°C or higher
100%
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
5%
10°C
$69 Vol.
81%
11°C
$0 Vol.
100%
12°C
$0 Vol.
100%
13°C
$0 Vol.
100%
14°C
$0 Vol.
100%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$15 Vol.
100%
17°C
$20 Vol.
14%
18°C
$5 Vol.
100%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light westerly winds overnight are driving current market-implied odds toward an 11–13°C minimum in Warsaw on September 2, as high-pressure building favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 21–23°C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows overnight lows clustered between 11–15°C, with the tight spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that modulate heat loss from the surface. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical minima near 12°C, so traders are weighting the latest model consensus against potential slight warming if clouds increase or winds strengthen. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$119Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light westerly winds overnight are driving current market-implied odds toward an 11–13°C minimum in Warsaw on September 2, as high-pressure building favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 21–23°C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows overnight lows clustered between 11–15°C, with the tight spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that modulate heat loss from the surface. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical minima near 12°C, so traders are weighting the latest model consensus against potential slight warming if clouds increase or winds strengthen. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$119Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light westerly winds overnight are driving current market-implied odds toward an 11–13°C minimum in Warsaw on September 2, as high-pressure building favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 21–23°C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows overnight lows clustered between 11–15°C, with the tight spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that modulate heat loss from the surface. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical minima near 12°C, so traders are weighting the latest model consensus against potential slight warming if clouds increase or winds strengthen. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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