Recent forecast models from multiple sources converge on a September 1 minimum temperature in Warsaw of 15–17°C, reflecting the seasonal shift from late-summer warmth into early autumn cooling under westerly flow. Light to moderate winds, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply, while daytime highs near 21–23°C support a daily range that favors mid-teens minima. The near-even market split between outcomes above 22°C and at or below 12°C captures residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any frontal passage, with new high-resolution runs expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical September averages near 12–13°C provide context but are outweighed by the current stable, mild pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Varsovia el 1 de septiembre?
22°C or higher 94%
12°C or below 90%
17°C 49%
14°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
12°C or below
90%
13°C
20%
14°C
39%
15°C
28%
16°C
26%
17°C
49%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
94%
22°C or higher 94%
12°C or below 90%
17°C 49%
14°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
90%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple sources converge on a September 1 minimum temperature in Warsaw of 15–17°C, reflecting the seasonal shift from late-summer warmth into early autumn cooling under westerly flow. Light to moderate winds, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply, while daytime highs near 21–23°C support a daily range that favors mid-teens minima. The near-even market split between outcomes above 22°C and at or below 12°C captures residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any frontal passage, with new high-resolution runs expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical September averages near 12–13°C provide context but are outweighed by the current stable, mild pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple sources converge on a September 1 minimum temperature in Warsaw of 15–17°C, reflecting the seasonal shift from late-summer warmth into early autumn cooling under westerly flow. Light to moderate winds, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply, while daytime highs near 21–23°C support a daily range that favors mid-teens minima. The near-even market split between outcomes above 22°C and at or below 12°C captures residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any frontal passage, with new high-resolution runs expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical September averages near 12–13°C provide context but are outweighed by the current stable, mild pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from multiple sources converge on a September 1 minimum temperature in Warsaw of 15–17°C, reflecting the seasonal shift from late-summer warmth into early autumn cooling under westerly flow. Light to moderate winds, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping sharply, while daytime highs near 21–23°C support a daily range that favors mid-teens minima. The near-even market split between outcomes above 22°C and at or below 12°C captures residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any frontal passage, with new high-resolution runs expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical September averages near 12–13°C provide context but are outweighed by the current stable, mild pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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