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Política·Elecciones Principales

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
Política·Elecciones Principales

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 57%

Robert Kenyon 38%

James Thomas Bryer <1%

Maria Deery <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$12,568 Vol.

Andy Burnham 57%

Robert Kenyon 38%

James Thomas Bryer <1%

Maria Deery <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$12,568 Vol.

Andy Burnham

$6,828 Vol.

57%

Robert Kenyon

$1,976 Vol.

38%

James Thomas Bryer

$297 Vol.

1%

Maria Deery

$1,165 Vol.

1%

John Skipworth

$1,033 Vol.

1%

Simon Finkelstein

$1,269 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham's approval by Labour's National Executive Committee to contest the Makerfield by-election, following MP Josh Simons' resignation on 14 May 2026, has positioned him as the frontrunner in trader assessments. His profile as Greater Manchester mayor and endorsements from senior figures like Wes Streeting reinforce expectations of consolidating the constituency's traditional Labour support ahead of the 18 June vote. Robert Kenyon of Reform UK trails due to the party's strong second-place finish in 2024 and recent local council gains in Wigan wards, reflecting broader momentum in northern seats. Minor candidates register negligible probabilities consistent with limited third-party traction. The market pricing captures Labour's structural incumbency edge alongside Reform's competitive challenge in a seat with a narrowed majority, with traders weighing the outcome's implications for internal party dynamics.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$12,568
Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham's approval by Labour's National Executive Committee to contest the Makerfield by-election, following MP Josh Simons' resignation on 14 May 2026, has positioned him as the frontrunner in trader assessments. His profile as Greater Manchester mayor and endorsements from senior figures like Wes Streeting reinforce expectations of consolidating the constituency's traditional Labour support ahead of the 18 June vote. Robert Kenyon of Reform UK trails due to the party's strong second-place finish in 2024 and recent local council gains in Wigan wards, reflecting broader momentum in northern seats. Minor candidates register negligible probabilities consistent with limited third-party traction. The market pricing captures Labour's structural incumbency edge alongside Reform's competitive challenge in a seat with a narrowed majority, with traders weighing the outcome's implications for internal party dynamics.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$12,568
Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Makerfield by-election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Andy Burnham" con 57%, seguido de "Robert Kenyon" con 38%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 57¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Makerfield by-election Winner" ha generado $12.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 14, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Makerfield by-election Winner", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Makerfield by-election Winner" es "Andy Burnham" con 57%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Robert Kenyon" con 38%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Makerfield by-election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.