Skip to main content
icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10

Mike Bouchard 56%

Steven Elliott 10.1%

Casey Armitage 7%

Justin Kirk 4.7%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Mike Bouchard 56%

Steven Elliott 10.1%

Casey Armitage 7%

Justin Kirk 4.7%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Mike Bouchard

$2,122 Vol.

60%

Steven Elliott

$1,799 Vol.

16%

Casey Armitage

$2,338 Vol.

7%

Justin Kirk

$847 Vol.

5%

Robert Lulgjuraj

$2,116 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Michael Bouchard as the Republican nominee for Michigan's 10th Congressional District primary on August 4, 2026, with 58.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant internal poll lead (37% to Robert Lulgjuraj's 8% in late January 2026 among likely GOP primary voters) and strong Q1 fundraising ($977,000 raised, $847,000 cash on hand through March 31). The open seat follows Rep. John James's gubernatorial bid, heightening competition. Lulgjuraj trails at 28.3% despite top total fundraising ($1.2 million) and local endorsements from state representatives and Macomb County officials, while Steven Elliott's 19.2% reflects backing from Ambassador Richard Grenell. April filings underscored financial parity between frontrunners, with petition challenges resolved by late April; no public polls have emerged since March.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$9,222
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Michael Bouchard as the Republican nominee for Michigan's 10th Congressional District primary on August 4, 2026, with 58.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant internal poll lead (37% to Robert Lulgjuraj's 8% in late January 2026 among likely GOP primary voters) and strong Q1 fundraising ($977,000 raised, $847,000 cash on hand through March 31). The open seat follows Rep. John James's gubernatorial bid, heightening competition. Lulgjuraj trails at 28.3% despite top total fundraising ($1.2 million) and local endorsements from state representatives and Macomb County officials, while Steven Elliott's 19.2% reflects backing from Ambassador Richard Grenell. April filings underscored financial parity between frontrunners, with petition challenges resolved by late April; no public polls have emerged since March.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$9,222
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mike Bouchard" con 60%, seguido de "Robert Lulgjuraj" con 42%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 60¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 18, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10" es "Mike Bouchard" con 60%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Robert Lulgjuraj" con 42%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.