Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic tilt in statewide contests and her status as sitting governor seeking a second full term. Republicans have not won a New York governor's race since 2002, and the GOP nominee, Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, trails in recent Siena polling by double digits despite an endorsement from President Trump. Hochul advanced through an uncontested Democratic primary in June 2026, while structural factors such as voter registration advantages and urban turnout patterns reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic victory on November 3. A major scandal, sharp economic downturn, or late national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such shifts would require substantial evidence to materially alter the outcome before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Nueva York
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Nueva York
$94,564 Vol.
$94,564 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
94%
Republicano
7%
$94,564 Vol.
$94,564 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$45,515 Vol.
94%
Republicano
$49,050 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic tilt in statewide contests and her status as sitting governor seeking a second full term. Republicans have not won a New York governor's race since 2002, and the GOP nominee, Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, trails in recent Siena polling by double digits despite an endorsement from President Trump. Hochul advanced through an uncontested Democratic primary in June 2026, while structural factors such as voter registration advantages and urban turnout patterns reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic victory on November 3. A major scandal, sharp economic downturn, or late national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such shifts would require substantial evidence to materially alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volumen
$94,564Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic tilt in statewide contests and her status as sitting governor seeking a second full term. Republicans have not won a New York governor's race since 2002, and the GOP nominee, Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, trails in recent Siena polling by double digits despite an endorsement from President Trump. Hochul advanced through an uncontested Democratic primary in June 2026, while structural factors such as voter registration advantages and urban turnout patterns reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic victory on November 3. A major scandal, sharp economic downturn, or late national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such shifts would require substantial evidence to materially alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$94,564Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic tilt in statewide contests and her status as sitting governor seeking a second full term. Republicans have not won a New York governor's race since 2002, and the GOP nominee, Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, trails in recent Siena polling by double digits despite an endorsement from President Trump. Hochul advanced through an uncontested Democratic primary in June 2026, while structural factors such as voter registration advantages and urban turnout patterns reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic victory on November 3. A major scandal, sharp economic downturn, or late national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such shifts would require substantial evidence to materially alter the outcome before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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