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Elecciones·Senado

¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

icon for ¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?
Elecciones·Senado

¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

John Thune 30%

Chuck Schumer 23%

Tom Cotton 15.4%

Brian Schatz 10%

Polymarket

$63,442 Vol.

John Thune 30%

Chuck Schumer 23%

Tom Cotton 15.4%

Brian Schatz 10%

Polymarket

$63,442 Vol.

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$2,393 Vol.

30%

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$7,846 Vol.

23%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$5,565 Vol.

15%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$2,263 Vol.

10%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$2,024 Vol.

3%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$3,036 Vol.

3%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$21,910 Vol.

3%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$2,397 Vol.

2%

icon for Lindsey Graham

Lindsey Graham

$11,032 Vol.

2%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$2,060 Vol.

2%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$2,915 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The 2026 midterm elections remain the central driver of probabilities for the next Senate majority leader, with Republicans holding a narrow 53-45 edge that could shift depending on outcomes in competitive races. John Thune’s position as current Republican leader gives him the edge in trader consensus if the GOP retains control, while Chuck Schumer’s role heading the Democratic conference positions him if Democrats flip the chamber. Tom Cotton and other Republican senators factor in as potential internal challengers should the majority hold, reflecting ongoing leadership dynamics within the conference. Several battleground contests, including those in North Carolina and Georgia, continue to keep the overall outlook fluid, and results there could quickly consolidate support around one candidate or force new negotiations within the winning party’s caucus.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volumen
$63,442
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The 2026 midterm elections remain the central driver of probabilities for the next Senate majority leader, with Republicans holding a narrow 53-45 edge that could shift depending on outcomes in competitive races. John Thune’s position as current Republican leader gives him the edge in trader consensus if the GOP retains control, while Chuck Schumer’s role heading the Democratic conference positions him if Democrats flip the chamber. Tom Cotton and other Republican senators factor in as potential internal challengers should the majority hold, reflecting ongoing leadership dynamics within the conference. Several battleground contests, including those in North Carolina and Georgia, continue to keep the overall outlook fluid, and results there could quickly consolidate support around one candidate or force new negotiations within the winning party’s caucus.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volumen
$63,442
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "John Thune" con 30%, seguido de "Chuck Schumer" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 30¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 30% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" ha generado $63.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" es "John Thune" con 30%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 30% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Chuck Schumer" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.