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icon for ¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?
Elecciones·Senado

¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

icon for ¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?
Elecciones·Senado

¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

John Thune 45%

Chuck Schumer 37%

Brian Schatz 5.5%

Tom Cotton 2.8%

Polymarket

$156,156 Vol.

John Thune 45%

Chuck Schumer 37%

Brian Schatz 5.5%

Tom Cotton 2.8%

Polymarket

$156,156 Vol.

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$26,126 Vol.

45%

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$14,908 Vol.

37%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$3,123 Vol.

5%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$7,630 Vol.

3%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$4,889 Vol.

1%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$25,051 Vol.

1%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$5,031 Vol.

1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$4,278 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$4,673 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$5,349 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The tight contest between John Thune and Chuck Schumer for next Senate Majority Leader reflects uncertainty over which party will hold the chamber after the November 2026 elections, with Republicans currently holding a narrow majority and facing a competitive map of toss-up races. Thune, the incumbent GOP leader, benefits from caucus support and recent statements signaling he expects to seek another term, though tensions with some party factions over legislative priorities like the filibuster and election measures have created openings for potential challengers if Republicans retain control. Schumer has focused on Democratic recruitment and messaging in key battlegrounds, positioning himself for a return to the top post if his party flips the Senate. Other contenders remain distant due to limited internal backing. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing captures this election-dependent dynamic, with outcomes hinging on final vote tallies and subsequent closed-door party leadership votes.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volumen
$156,156
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The tight contest between John Thune and Chuck Schumer for next Senate Majority Leader reflects uncertainty over which party will hold the chamber after the November 2026 elections, with Republicans currently holding a narrow majority and facing a competitive map of toss-up races. Thune, the incumbent GOP leader, benefits from caucus support and recent statements signaling he expects to seek another term, though tensions with some party factions over legislative priorities like the filibuster and election measures have created openings for potential challengers if Republicans retain control. Schumer has focused on Democratic recruitment and messaging in key battlegrounds, positioning himself for a return to the top post if his party flips the Senate. Other contenders remain distant due to limited internal backing. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing captures this election-dependent dynamic, with outcomes hinging on final vote tallies and subsequent closed-door party leadership votes.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volumen
$156,156
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "John Thune" con 45%, seguido de "Chuck Schumer" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" ha generado $156.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" es "John Thune" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Chuck Schumer" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.