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¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?

icon for ¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?

¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?

Andy Burnham 56.3%

Ningún próximo PM en 2026 13%

Angela Rayner 11%

Wes Streeting 10%

Polymarket

$7,248,506 Vol.

Andy Burnham 56.3%

Ningún próximo PM en 2026 13%

Angela Rayner 11%

Wes Streeting 10%

Polymarket

$7,248,506 Vol.

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$570,662 Vol.

56%

icon for Ningún próximo PM en 2026

Ningún próximo PM en 2026

$380,951 Vol.

13%

icon for Angela Rayner

Angela Rayner

$468,637 Vol.

11%

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$283,764 Vol.

10%

icon for Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

$318,096 Vol.

7%

icon for Al Carns

Al Carns

$210,904 Vol.

2%

icon for Nigel Farage

Nigel Farage

$807,777 Vol.

1%

icon for Shabana Mahmood

Shabana Mahmood

$298,443 Vol.

1%

icon for Yvette Cooper

Yvette Cooper

$282,640 Vol.

1%

icon for Lucy Powell

Lucy Powell

$294,267 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rupert Lowe

Rupert Lowe

$689,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves

$448,765 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Badenoch

$196,450 Vol.

<1%

icon for Boris Johnson

Boris Johnson

$257,594 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ed Davey

Ed Davey

$352,678 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bridget Phillipson

Bridget Phillipson

$135,226 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Jenrick

Robert Jenrick

$373,998 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Lammy

David Lammy

$332,809 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Cleverly

James Cleverly

$296,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darren Jones

Darren Jones

$210,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Healey

John Healey

$38,441 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders view Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner for next UK Prime Minister in 2026 due to his established profile as a senior Labour figure and Greater Manchester mayor, positioning him ahead of other party colleagues in assessments of potential leadership transitions. The lower-priced “No Next PM in 2026” outcome signals trader expectations of continuity under the current government, while trailing Labour options such as Angela Rayner and Wes Streeting reflect their cabinet roles but narrower perceived support for an immediate succession scenario. Recent internal party positioning and policy debates have reinforced this ranking, with the market pricing in the possibility of a contest driven by electoral pressures or leadership fatigue before the end of the year.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,248,506
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders view Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner for next UK Prime Minister in 2026 due to his established profile as a senior Labour figure and Greater Manchester mayor, positioning him ahead of other party colleagues in assessments of potential leadership transitions. The lower-priced “No Next PM in 2026” outcome signals trader expectations of continuity under the current government, while trailing Labour options such as Angela Rayner and Wes Streeting reflect their cabinet roles but narrower perceived support for an immediate succession scenario. Recent internal party positioning and policy debates have reinforced this ranking, with the market pricing in the possibility of a contest driven by electoral pressures or leadership fatigue before the end of the year.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,248,506
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 21 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Andy Burnham" con 56%, seguido de "Ningún próximo PM en 2026" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 56¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?" ha generado $7.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?", explora los 21 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?" es "Andy Burnham" con 56%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ningún próximo PM en 2026" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo primer ministro del Reino Unido en 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.