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Política·Parlays

Nunca pasa nada: junio

icon for Nunca pasa nada: junio
Política·Parlays

Nunca pasa nada: junio

jun 30

dic 31

jun 30

dic 31

Algo

7% probabilidad
Polymarket

$23,399 Vol.

Algo

7% probabilidad
Polymarket

$23,399 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US confirms that aliens exist - Fed decides any change in June - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf**Traders assign a 93% implied probability to "Nothing" occurring in June 2026 because none of the market's resolution triggers appear imminent in the remaining weeks.** Specific conditions that would flip the outcome—such as a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement, a Federal Reserve rate cut, a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal, Israeli or U.S. military strikes on Iran, or Zohran Mamdani winning the Democratic primary for New York City mayor—lack supporting developments as of mid-June. Ongoing diplomatic and military postures in the Middle East and Eastern Europe show no sudden breakthroughs, while scheduled Fed policy meetings and primary calendars do not align with near-term action. Broader 2026 political context, including Supreme Court term-end decisions and midterm preparations, has not produced catalysts matching the listed criteria. This leaves the resolution window dominated by the status quo, consistent with the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Fed decides any change in June
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf
Volumen
$23,399
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US confirms that aliens exist - Fed decides any change in June - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US confirms that aliens exist - Fed decides any change in June - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf**Traders assign a 93% implied probability to "Nothing" occurring in June 2026 because none of the market's resolution triggers appear imminent in the remaining weeks.** Specific conditions that would flip the outcome—such as a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement, a Federal Reserve rate cut, a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal, Israeli or U.S. military strikes on Iran, or Zohran Mamdani winning the Democratic primary for New York City mayor—lack supporting developments as of mid-June. Ongoing diplomatic and military postures in the Middle East and Eastern Europe show no sudden breakthroughs, while scheduled Fed policy meetings and primary calendars do not align with near-term action. Broader 2026 political context, including Supreme Court term-end decisions and midterm preparations, has not produced catalysts matching the listed criteria. This leaves the resolution window dominated by the status quo, consistent with the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Fed decides any change in June
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf
Volumen
$23,399
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US confirms that aliens exist - Fed decides any change in June - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Nunca pasa nada: junio" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Nada nunca sucede: Junio" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 7¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 7% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Nunca pasa nada: junio" ha generado $23.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 2, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Nunca pasa nada: junio", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "Nunca pasa nada: junio" es "Nada nunca sucede: Junio" con solo 7%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Nunca pasa nada: junio" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.