Skip to main content
icon for Nothing Ever Happens: May
Geopolítica·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: May

icon for Nothing Ever Happens: May
Geopolítica·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: May

mar 31

may 31

dic 31

mar 31

may 31

dic 31

Nada

83% probabilidad
Polymarket

$83,186 Vol.

Nada

83% probabilidad
Polymarket

$83,186 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US x Iran permanent peace deal - Iran leadership change - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US military action against Cuba - US confirms that aliens exist - Russia invades a NATO country Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 83% midway through May, driven by the absence of any triggering events since late April amid sustained geopolitical stability. No US-Iran permanent peace deal has materialized despite stalled bilateral diplomacy and Tehran's rejected proposals; Iranian leadership shows no change or succession signals; WTI crude oil remains well below $150 per barrel despite Middle East tensions; and improbable scenarios like US military action against Cuba, official US confirmation of aliens, or Russian invasion of a NATO country have not occurred. Routine diplomatic exchanges and de-escalation signals over the past week underscore high barriers to these low-probability outcomes before the May 31 resolution, though President Trump's Beijing summit with Xi Jinping starting May 13 could introduce volatility on Iran and related issues.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Volumen
$83,186
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US x Iran permanent peace deal - Iran leadership change - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US military action against Cuba - US confirms that aliens exist - Russia invades a NATO country Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US x Iran permanent peace deal - Iran leadership change - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US military action against Cuba - US confirms that aliens exist - Russia invades a NATO country Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 83% midway through May, driven by the absence of any triggering events since late April amid sustained geopolitical stability. No US-Iran permanent peace deal has materialized despite stalled bilateral diplomacy and Tehran's rejected proposals; Iranian leadership shows no change or succession signals; WTI crude oil remains well below $150 per barrel despite Middle East tensions; and improbable scenarios like US military action against Cuba, official US confirmation of aliens, or Russian invasion of a NATO country have not occurred. Routine diplomatic exchanges and de-escalation signals over the past week underscore high barriers to these low-probability outcomes before the May 31 resolution, though President Trump's Beijing summit with Xi Jinping starting May 13 could introduce volatility on Iran and related issues.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Volumen
$83,186
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US x Iran permanent peace deal - Iran leadership change - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US military action against Cuba - US confirms that aliens exist - Russia invades a NATO country Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Nothing Ever Happens: May" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Nada sucede nunca: mayo" con 83%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 83¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 83% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Nothing Ever Happens: May" ha generado $83.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 30, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Nothing Ever Happens: May", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Nothing Ever Happens: May" es "Nada sucede nunca: mayo" con 83%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 83% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Nothing Ever Happens: May" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.