Claire Valdez secured a commanding victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 percentage points according to certified results and projections from multiple outlets. Her performance reflected superior fundraising, early voting operations, union and progressive endorsements including from Zohran Mamdani, and strong turnout in core Brooklyn and Queens precincts within the safely Democratic seat. Trader consensus on a margin exceeding 15 points aligns with these verified vote shares and historical patterns in low-turnout urban primaries favoring well-organized candidates. A narrower result would require significant late shifts from uncounted ballots or successful legal challenges to certification, both of which remain unlikely given the scale of the reported lead.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNY-07 Margen de victoria de las primarias demócratas
NY-07 Margen de victoria de las primarias demócratas
Valdez 15%+ 98.8%
Valdez 10–15% 2.7%
Otro <1%
Valdez 5–10% <1%
$40,286 Vol.
$40,286 Vol.
23 jun 2026
Valdez 15%+
99%
Valdez 10–15%
3%
Valdez 5–10%
<1%
Valdez <5%
<1%
Otro
<1%
Valdez 15%+ 98.8%
Valdez 10–15% 2.7%
Otro <1%
Valdez 5–10% <1%
$40,286 Vol.
$40,286 Vol.
23 jun 2026
Valdez 15%+
$6,998 Vol.
99%
Valdez 10–15%
$7,795 Vol.
3%
Valdez 5–10%
$5,715 Vol.
<1%
Valdez <5%
$6,184 Vol.
<1%
Otro
$1,410 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Claire Valdez secured a commanding victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 percentage points according to certified results and projections from multiple outlets. Her performance reflected superior fundraising, early voting operations, union and progressive endorsements including from Zohran Mamdani, and strong turnout in core Brooklyn and Queens precincts within the safely Democratic seat. Trader consensus on a margin exceeding 15 points aligns with these verified vote shares and historical patterns in low-turnout urban primaries favoring well-organized candidates. A narrower result would require significant late shifts from uncounted ballots or successful legal challenges to certification, both of which remain unlikely given the scale of the reported lead.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado abierto: Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volumen
$40,286Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Claire Valdez secured a commanding victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 percentage points according to certified results and projections from multiple outlets. Her performance reflected superior fundraising, early voting operations, union and progressive endorsements including from Zohran Mamdani, and strong turnout in core Brooklyn and Queens precincts within the safely Democratic seat. Trader consensus on a margin exceeding 15 points aligns with these verified vote shares and historical patterns in low-turnout urban primaries favoring well-organized candidates. A narrower result would require significant late shifts from uncounted ballots or successful legal challenges to certification, both of which remain unlikely given the scale of the reported lead.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$40,286Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Claire Valdez secured a commanding victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 percentage points according to certified results and projections from multiple outlets. Her performance reflected superior fundraising, early voting operations, union and progressive endorsements including from Zohran Mamdani, and strong turnout in core Brooklyn and Queens precincts within the safely Democratic seat. Trader consensus on a margin exceeding 15 points aligns with these verified vote shares and historical patterns in low-turnout urban primaries favoring well-organized candidates. A narrower result would require significant late shifts from uncounted ballots or successful legal challenges to certification, both of which remain unlikely given the scale of the reported lead.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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